Match Info

Championship - Round 7

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Jakabaring Stadium (Palembang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Sumsel United		Isenmulang Kalteng

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.31	3.15	2.85
	1.77	3.59	4.00	Watch
	2.27	3.08	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.77)	3.27 ↓ (3.59)	3.28 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumsel United
43.6%

Draw
28.2%

Isenmulang Kalteng
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.5%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumsel United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumsel United's form might have worsened.

Isenmulang Kalteng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Isenmulang Kalteng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumsel United than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sumsel United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isenmulang Kalteng than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Isenmulang Kalteng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sumsel United - Isenmulang Kalteng Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Muzakkar K. (A),
18', Sandy R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Fariel N. ↓, Afrizal S. ↑,
46', Sandy R. ↓, Akbar R. ↑,
58', Bajo I. 🟥,
60', 1 - 1, Konate M. (Pen),
60', Ibrahim H. ↓, Kurniawan I. ↑,
60', Muzakkar K. ↓, Fatchu Rochman M. ↑,
65', Karman K. 🟨,
71', Fayrushi M. 🟨,
74', Hartono D. ↓, Sonriza D. ↑,
78', Silva A. ↓, Angga R. ↑,
78', Ariyanto R. ↓, Chrismanto A. ↑,
84', Darmawan T. ↓, Gagarin J. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Angga R. ⚽, Konate M. (A),
90+2', Pondaag B. ↓, Abdillah S. ↑,
90+6', Hutagalung A. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Sumsel United is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumsel United
Indonesian Championship
18.10.25	PSPS Riau - Sumsel United	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Sumsel United - Persekat Tegal	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Adhyaksa Bekasi - Sumsel United	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	PSMS Medan - Sumsel United	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Sumsel United - Persiraja Banda Aceh	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWLLW
- Isenmulang Kalteng FC
Indonesian Championship
18.10.25	Isenmulang Kalteng - PSMS Medan	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Garudayaksa - Isenmulang Kalteng	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Persekat Tegal - Isenmulang Kalteng	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Isenmulang Kalteng - Persikad Depok	2:2 ✺
22.09.25	Isenmulang Kalteng - Adhyaksa Bekasi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTTW

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