Match Info

Championship - Round 8

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Jakabaring Stadium (Palembang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Sumsel United		Sriwijaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.25	6.18	Watch
	1.28	4.75	9.1
	1.3	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)	4.5 ↑ (4.25)	7.59 ↑ (6.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumsel United
67.8%

Draw
20.2%

Sriwijaya
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

21.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

16.2%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumsel United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Sriwijaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sumsel United than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sumsel United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sriwijaya than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sriwijaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sumsel United - Sriwijaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Triatmojo P. (G) 10. Dall'Oca 22. Darmawan T. 27. Fariel N. 4. Fatchu Rochman M. 5. Fernando Barbosa 16. Ibrahim H. (C) 9. Juninho 3. Kapisa O. 13. Karman K. 89. Lee Yu-jun	21. Azhar Z. (G) 55. Abdiansyah R. 88. Adri M. 2. Ardiansyah F. 32. Ariyanto V. 25. Arya M. 22. Dwipan F. 77. Jackson Tiwu 24. Mukti G. (C) 68. Rahman F. 9. Zico S.
Substitutes
18. Afrizal S. 19. Fariansyah A. 8. Gagarin J. 23. Gatra B. 99. Hidayat R. 24. Kurniawan I. 17. Lating I. 78. Maulana R. (G) 25. Muzakkar K. 26. Rani M. (G) 20. Syafrinaldi 42. Zakaria	80. Al Muzanni A. M. 28. Augusta M. 8. Fatchur N. 10. Juliansyah R. 47. Mandagi G. (G) 7. Nadhif 29. Pahlevi R. 26. Pratama R. (G) 45. Surbay F. 82. Telaubun V. 12. Wicaksono T. 87. Wiratama S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Ariyanto V. ⚽, Arya M. (A),
33', Adri M. ↓, Pahlevi R. ↑,
38', Dwipan F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lee Yu-jun ↓, Muzakkar K. ↑,
46', Fariel N. ↓, Afrizal S. ↑,
64', Jackson Tiwu ↓, Al Muzanni A. M. ↑,
64', Zico S. ↓, Fatchur N. ↑,
73', Darmawan T. ↓, Gatra B. ↑,
81', Mukti G. ↓, Wiratama S. ↑,
85', Fatchu Rochman M. ↓, Hidayat R. ↑,
85', Karman K. ↓, Zakaria ↑,
87', Dall'Oca 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Muzakkar K. ⚽,
90+1', Hidayat R. 🟨,
90+1', Kapisa O. 🟨,
90+4', Rahman F. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Sumsel United has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sriwijaya is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sriwijaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sumsel United is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumsel United
Indonesian Championship
24.10.25	Sumsel United - Isenmulang Kalteng	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	PSPS Riau - Sumsel United	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Sumsel United - Persekat Tegal	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Adhyaksa Bekasi - Sumsel United	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	PSMS Medan - Sumsel United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWLL
- Sriwijaya
Indonesian Championship
26.10.25	Sriwijaya - Adhyaksa Bekasi	1:3 ✺
17.10.25	Sriwijaya - Persekat Tegal	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	PSPS Riau - Sriwijaya	1:0 ✺
04.10.25	PSMS Medan - Sriwijaya	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Sriwijaya - Persiraja Banda Aceh	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Sumsel United - Sriwijaya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide