Match Info

Premier League

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Gasogi United		Musanze

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.92	3
	2.5	2.84	2.98	Watch
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.41	2.85	2.98
	2.5	2.8	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.32)	2.82 ↓ (2.89)	2.94 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gasogi United
37.2%

Draw
32%

Musanze
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.8%

31.2%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

31%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gasogi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Musanze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Musanze than the current prediction. (-1%)

Gasogi United - Musanze Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 2.

Gasogi United has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Musanze is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gasogi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gasogi United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Musanze	4	2	0	2	3:2	1	6
10	Gasogi United	6	1	3	2	4:7	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League
26.12.25	Gasogi United - Kigali	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	APR - Gasogi United	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	Police - Gasogi United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Gasogi United - Marines	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Gasogi United - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Musanze FC
Rwanda Premier League
28.12.25	Musanze - Gorilla	0:1 ✺
24.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Musanze	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Musanze - Muhanga	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Musanze - Etincelles	1:3 ✺
05.12.25	Rayon Sports - Musanze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
10.05.25	Musanze - Gasogi United	1:1
23.11.24	Gasogi United - Musanze	1:1
26.11.23	Gasogi United - Musanze	2:0
05.03.23	Gasogi United - Musanze	1:2
11.12.22	Musanze - Gasogi United	0:1
22.05.22	Gasogi United - Musanze	2:1
20.01.22	Musanze - Gasogi United	1:0

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