Match Info

Premier League

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Gasogi United		Kigali

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.72	2.68
	2.98	2.59	2.74	Watch
	2.9	2.5	2.63
	2.73	2.68	2.68
	3.1	2.45	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.37)	2.59 ↓ (2.75)	2.67 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gasogi United
31.3%

Draw
34.9%

Kigali
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

32.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

33.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gasogi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gasogi United's form might have worsened.

Kigali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gasogi United than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gasogi United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Gasogi United - Kigali Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kigali (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kigali (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Kigali (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kigali (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 1.

Gasogi United is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kigali has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gasogi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gasogi United won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gasogi United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gasogi United
Rwanda Premier League
20.12.25	APR - Gasogi United	2:0 ✺
12.12.25	Police - Gasogi United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Gasogi United - Marines	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Gasogi United - Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman	0:2 ✺
29.11.25	Amagaju - Gasogi United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- AS Kigali
Rwanda Premier League
19.12.25	Kigali - Bugesera	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Muhanga - Kigali	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Al-Merreikh - Kigali	2:1 ✺
28.11.25	Kigali - APR	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Rayon Sports - Kigali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Rwanda Premier League
28.03.25	Kigali - Gasogi United	0:0
04.01.25	Gasogi United - Kigali	1:2
27.01.24	Gasogi United - Kigali	0:1
02.09.23	Kigali - Gasogi United	1:2
06.05.23	Kigali - Gasogi United	2:1
30.10.22	Gasogi United - Kigali	0:1
29.04.22	Kigali - Gasogi United	2:1

Gasogi United - Kigali: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide