Match Info

ENGLAND: National League - Round 38

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Gateshead International Stadium (Gateshead)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Gateshead		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	5.25
	1.47	4.2	5
	1.5	4.5	5.6
	1.53	4.47	5.32
	1.51	4.4	5.66	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.5	4.38	5.81
	1.5	4.5	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.35 ↓ (4.44)	5.47 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gateshead
61.7%

Draw
21.3%

Maidenhead United
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20.9%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

15.3%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Maidenhead United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gateshead that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Gateshead - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brooks T. (G) 14. Belehouan J. 8. Booty R. 19. Hannant L. 28. Horton B. 15. Humbles L. 46. Jones D. 45. Malcolm J. 17. Roles J. 27. Sellars-Fleming T. 11. Worman B.	13. Ross C. (G) 23. Abrahams T. 20. Clerima R. 19. Cochrane O. 4. De Havilland W. 10. Ferdinand K. 8. Ferguson N. 6. Latty-Fairweather T. 9. McCoulsky S. 30. Onariase E. 16. Pettit C.
Substitutes
13. Bond H. (G) 38. Bramwell J. 34. Colkett Ch. 24. McGowan W. 23. Newton T. 10. Sheaf M. 39. Thompson O.	32. Ajose J. 25. Barratt S. 1. Collins H. (G) 15. Johnson J. 14. Sho-Silva T. 33. Stewart N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Onariase E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Booty R. 🟨,
77', Roles J. ↓, Newton T. ↑,
81', Belehouan J. 🟨,
82', Abrahams T. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
83', Worman B. ↓, Thompson O. ↑,
84', 0 - 2, McCoulsky S. ⚽,
90+3', Hannant L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 4.

Recent matches Gateshead is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maidenhead has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Gateshead have a series of guest games.

Recently Maidenhead have a series of home games.

In this match Gateshead is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gateshead won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:5 (average 3:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Gateshead won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:2 (average 3.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gateshead
English National League
08.03.25	Aldershot Town - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
04.03.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Gateshead - Fylde	1:1 ✺
25.02.25	Eastleigh - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Solihull Moors - Gateshead	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTTW
- Maidenhead United
English National League
08.03.25	Maidenhead United - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
04.03.25	Maidenhead United - Braintree Town	3:3 ✺
01.03.25	Forest Green Rovers - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Maidenhead United - York City	1:3 ✺
22.02.25	Maidenhead United - Yeovil Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
23.11.24	Maidenhead United - Gateshead	0:5
13.04.24	Maidenhead United - Gateshead	2:1
23.09.23	Gateshead - Maidenhead United	3:0
29.04.23	Gateshead - Maidenhead United	4:0
24.09.22	Maidenhead United - Gateshead	0:1
05.01.19	Gateshead - Maidenhead United	0:1
04.08.18	Maidenhead United - Gateshead	1:3

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