Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 8

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Lobos ULMX		Gavilanes de Matamoros

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.42
	1.70	3.91	4.25	Watch
	2.85	3.14	2.33	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.78)	3.38 (3.38)	2.81 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos ULMX
37.2%

Draw
28.5%

Gavilanes de Matamoros
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.9%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.9%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos ULMX has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gavilanes de Matamoros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lobos ULMX that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavilanes de Matamoros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
70', 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lobos ULMX won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lobos ULMX won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.10.25	Real Apodaca - Lobos ULMX	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Lobos ULMX - Avispones de Chilpancingo	2:1 ✺
19.09.25	Santiago - Lobos ULMX	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Lobos ULMX - Zacatepec Siglo	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Canamy - Lobos ULMX	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 TWTLT
- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
04.10.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Correcaminos UAT 2	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Real Apodaca - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:1 ✺
20.09.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Calor de San Pedro	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Avispones de Chilpancingo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Deportivo Zitácuaro	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
12.10.24	Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2
18.02.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Lobos ULMX	0:0
29.09.22	Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:5

Lobos ULMX - Gavilanes de Matamoros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide