Match Info

Date: 11 February 2020, Tuesday


	Gazélec Ajaccio		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.7	3.1
	2.35	2.6	3.35
	2.22	2.68	3.36
	2.37	2.78	3.79
	2.25	2.7	3.6
	2.62	2.05	3.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.29)	2.59 ↓ (2.82)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gazélec Ajaccio
38.6%

Draw
35.4%

Concarneau
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

32.6%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6%

22.4%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gazélec Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gazélec Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gazélec Ajaccio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concarneau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
32.7%	53.8%	13.5%

Gazélec Ajaccio - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Gazélec Ajaccio will win (votes: 17 - 32.7%). Concarneau will win (votes: 7 - 13.5%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40.2% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gazélec Ajaccio
French Ligue 3
07.02.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
31.01.20	Bastia-Borgo - Gazélec Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
24.01.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Toulon	0:0 ✺
17.01.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Béziers	0:1 ✺
10.01.20	Avranches - Gazélec Ajaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLL
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
07.02.20	Cholet - Concarneau	0:0 ✺
31.01.20	Concarneau - Boulogne	0:2 ✺
24.01.20	Le Puy - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
10.01.20	Concarneau - Bastia-Borgo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.01.20	Guingamp - Concarneau	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TLWT?

Gazélec Ajaccio - Concarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide