Match Info

National - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Guy Piriou (Concarneau)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	FFF TV


	Concarneau		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.65	3.2	2.6
	2.61	3.16	2.58	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.59	3.22	2.54	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.46)	3.15 ↓ (3.2)	2.56 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Concarneau
35.2%

Draw
29.1%

Boulogne
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.3%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Concarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	75%	25%

Concarneau - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Salles E. (G) 22. Bamba R. 17. Etuin M. 7. Gromat J. 4. Jannez G. (C) 18. Kielt S. 10. Mouazan B. 6. Seba D. 26. Sinquin T. 11. Soukouna Y. 2. Wahib A.	16. Pandor Y. (G) 11. Averlant T. 27. Baala A. 23. Dabo E. 22. Duflos S. 24. Epailly T. 21. Hbouch A. 9. Rambaud T. 26. Thiam D. 20. Toure H. 8. Vercruysse J.
Substitutes
5. Etcheverria B. 1. Philippon A. (G) 27. Samoura A. 9. Sery J. 3. Silva A.	12. Boyer J. 14. Bultel J. 4. Cal C. 17. Fatou C. 30. Uriev A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Jannez G. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Epailly T. ⚽, Averlant T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Gromat J. ↓, Sery J. ↑,
67', Averlant T. ↓, Boyer J. ↑,
73', Sinquin T. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Samoura A. ⚽, Kielt S. (A),
79', Toure H. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
79', Epailly T. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
86', Baala A. 🟨,
90+1', Soukouna Y. ↓, Etcheverria B. ↑,
90+1', Etuin M. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
90+4', Rambaud T. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Concarneau: Caoki G. (Inactive) Injai F. (Inactive) Jouan P. (Knee Injury) Sery J. (Inactive) Seydi A. (Muscle Injury) Sy M. (Inactive) Tchaptchet A. (Inactive) Tutu G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Boulogne: Boyer J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Busin A. (Suspended) Cal C. (Lacking Match Fitness) Delins V. (Injury) Gourville S. (Inactive) Lenogue X. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Paillard S. (Injury) Pinot A. (Red Card) Zohore N. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Concarneau won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:15 (average 0.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Concarneau won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
04.04.25	Dijon - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
28.03.25	Concarneau - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Villefranche - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
14.03.25	Concarneau - Versailles	4:2 ✺
07.03.25	Châteauroux - Concarneau	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTTWL
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
04.04.25	Boulogne - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	Valenciennes - Boulogne	2:3 ✺
21.03.25	Boulogne - Nîmes	2:1 ✺
14.03.25	Orleans - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Boulogne - Aubagne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
23.11.24	Boulogne - Concarneau	2:1
29.04.22	Boulogne - Concarneau	1:0
10.12.21	Concarneau - Boulogne	1:0
30.03.21	Concarneau - Boulogne	0:0
09.10.20	Boulogne - Concarneau	1:1
31.01.20	Concarneau - Boulogne	0:2
23.08.19	Boulogne - Concarneau	2:1

Upcoming Matches