Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday

Location: Stade Pierre Blouen (Cholet)


	Cholet		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.25	1.98
	3.25	3.15	2.05
	3.2	3.45	2.06
	3.86	3.34	2.05
	3.25	3.2	2.05
	3.3	3.38	2.05	Watch
	3.3	3.55	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.23)	3.33 ↑ (2.9)	2.04 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet
27.5%

Draw
27.5%

Concarneau
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

31.1%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	35.7%	57.1%

Cholet - Concarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cholet will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Concarneau will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Concarneau: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cholet won 2.

Recent matches Cholet is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concarneau is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Concarneau will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cholet won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Cholet won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
16.09.22	Dunkerque - Cholet	3:0 ✺
09.09.22	Cholet - Orleans	1:1 ✺
02.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Cholet	1:1 ✺
26.08.22	Cholet - Le Puy	2:0 ✺
19.08.22	Martigues - Cholet	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTTWL
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
19.09.22	Concarneau - Versailles	4:1 ✺
09.09.22	Bastia-Borgo - Concarneau	2:4 ✺
02.09.22	Concarneau - Nancy	1:2 ✺
26.08.22	Concarneau - Le Mans	1:0 ✺
19.08.22	Dunkerque - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
18.02.22	Concarneau - Cholet	2:0
10.09.21	Cholet - Concarneau	4:2
09.02.21	Cholet - Concarneau	0:1
29.09.20	Concarneau - Cholet	0:1
07.02.20	Cholet - Concarneau	0:0
30.08.19	Concarneau - Cholet	2:2
08.03.19	Concarneau - Cholet	0:1

Cholet - Concarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide