Match Info

Super Lig - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu (Istanbul)

Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Croatia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sportklub
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2


	Kasımpaşa		Göztepe

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.05	2.1	Watch
	3.43	3.34	2.12
	3.32	3.3	2.19
	3.10	3.61	2.18	Watch
	3.92	3.21	2.16	Watch
	3.45	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (3.21)	3.32 ↓ (3.67)	2.15 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kasımpaşa
27.3%

Draw
28.6%

Göztepe
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

26.1%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.4%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kasımpaşa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Göztepe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Kasımpaşa - Göztepe Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Göztepe will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Göztepe: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Göztepe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gianniotis A. (G) 2. Winck C. 20. Opoku N. 4. Arous A. 41. Szalai At. (C) 21. Frimpong G. 8. Cafu 16. Baldursson A. F. 12. Ben Ouanes M. 77. Gueye P. 17. Kanatsizkus K.	1. Lis M. (C) 4. Altikardes T. 5. Heliton 26. Bokele M. 2. Kurtulan A. 20. Miroshi N. 30. Dennis A. 15. Cherni A. 11. Bekiroglu E. 39. Janderson 9. Juan Santos
Substitutes
29. Aydin T. 9. Barasi Y. 14. Espinoza J. 7. Fall M. 11. Kol A. 5. Mujde A. 33. Tasdemir E. 6. Ustundag C. 25. Yanar A. (G) 42. Yigit E.	77. Bayrak O. 24. Bouajila S. 8. Ildiz A. 17. Kilicarslan E. (G) 12. Koybasi I. 10. Olaitan J. 6. Rhaldney 13. Ruan Teixeira 22. Yildiz U.
Coaches
Arveladze S.	Stoilov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Bekiroglu E. 🟨,
45', Ben Ouanes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, Juan Santos ⚽, Janderson (A),
55', 0 - 2, Juan Santos ⚽, Bekiroglu E. (A),
58', Heliton 🟨,
64', Frimpong G. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
67', Bekiroglu E. ↓, Olaitan J. ↑,
73', Kurtulan A. 🟨,
78', Szalai At. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
86', Cafu ↓, Barasi Y. ↑,
86', Gueye P. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,
89', Dennis A. ↓, Rhaldney ↑,
89', Juan Santos ↓, Ildiz A. ↑,
90+5', Cherni A. ↓, Koybasi I. ↑,
90+5', Janderson ↓, Bouajila S. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 1.

Recent form of Kasımpaşa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Göztepe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Göztepe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Göztepe could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Hajradinovic H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Göztepe: Allan Godoi (Inactive) Bayir F. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kasımpaşa
Turkish Super League
02.11.25	Kayserispor - Kasımpaşa	3:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Kahta 02 Spor - Kasımpaşa	3:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
26.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Eyüpspor - Kasımpaşa	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Kasımpaşa - Konyaspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTLT
- Göztepe
Turkish Super League
01.11.25	Göztepe - Gençlerbirliği	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Galatasaray - Göztepe	3:1 ✺
19.10.25	Alanyaspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Göztepe - İstanbul Başakşehir	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Eyüpspor - Göztepe	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
30.05.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	1:2
Turkish Cup
27.02.25	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	0:5
Turkish Super League
13.01.25	Göztepe - Kasımpaşa	5:0
05.03.22	Göztepe - Kasımpaşa	2:3
17.10.21	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	1:2
28.02.21	Göztepe - Kasımpaşa	1:0
23.10.20	Kasımpaşa - Göztepe	0:0

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