Match Info

Super Lig - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Gaziantep Stadyumu (Gaziantep)

Referee: Karaoglan A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Gaziantep		Kayserispor

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.84
	2.39	3.5	3.06
	2.34	3.45	2.98	Watch
	2.25	3.2	2.9
	2.4	3.47	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.18)	3.37 ↓ (3.54)	2.99 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gaziantep
40.5%

Draw
28%

Kayserispor
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

26.7%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.8%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	15.8%	47.4%

Gaziantep - Kayserispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Kayserispor (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Gorgen Z. (G) 18. Sorescu D. 4. Kizildag A. 14. Abena M. 77. Rodrigues K. 8. Gidado V. 3. Camara D. 10. Kozlowski K. 44. Maxim A. (C) 11. Lungoyi C. 9. Bayo M.	25. Bayazit B. (G) 2. Katongo J. 6. Guler S. 4. Denswil S. 30. Brenet J. 33. Soyalp F. 15. Ait Bennasser Y. 11. Mather S. 8. Benes L. 7. Cardoso M. (C) 63. Chalov F.
Substitutes
81. Aslan C. (G) 71. Bozan M. (G) 70. Dragus D. 17. Gassama K. 5. Mujakic N. 61. Ozcicek O. 2. Perez L. 30. Sangare N. 23. Sanuc T. T.	28. Civelek R. 17. Kapacak B. 18. Makarov D. 20. Mane C. 10. Mendes J. 9. Onugkha G. 1. Piri O. (G) 61. Saglam G. 24. Tokoz D. 22. Tuci I.
Coaches
Aksoy M.	Moe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Gidado V. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Bayo M. ⚽, Kozlowski K. (A),
34', Brenet J. ↓, Civelek R. ↑,
42', Benes L. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Ait Bennasser Y. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mather S. ↓, Onugkha G. ↑,
46', Civelek R. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
46', Soyalp F. ↓, Makarov D. ↑,
51', Kozlowski K. 🟨,
68', Camara D. ↓, Ozcicek O. ↑,
68', Bayo M. ↓, Dragus D. ↑,
74', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Tokoz D. ↑,
78', Kapacak B. 🟨,
80', 3 - 0, Sorescu D. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Sorescu D. ↓, Perez L. ↑,
87', Gidado V. ↓, Gassama K. ↑,
90', Maxim A. ↓, Sangare N. ↑,
90+1', Tokoz D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 2.

Gaziantep has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kayserispor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gaziantep may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gaziantep could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Gaziantep: Ablak A. (Knee Injury) Kabasakal M. (Yellow Cards) M'Bakata S. (Knee Injury) Ozcicek O. (Inactive)

There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Carole L. (Inactive) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury) Hosseini M. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Gaziantep: Lungoyi C. (Injury) Ndiaye B. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kayserispor: Cihan K. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gaziantep won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gaziantep won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Outrights of Turkish Super League for now

Gaziantep: 0.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Gaziantep	7	2	2	3	7:10	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Gaziantep - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 43.33%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gaziantep FK
Turkish Super League
13.04.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Gaziantep	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Gaziantep - Alanyaspor	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Antalyaspor - Gaziantep	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLWT
- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
11.04.26	Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Samsunspor - Kayserispor	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
22.11.25	Kayserispor - Gaziantep	0:3
15.03.25	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	1:0
19.10.24	Kayserispor - Gaziantep	2:2
03.02.24	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	1:1
16.09.23	Kayserispor - Gaziantep	2:0
06.11.22	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	1:2
06.05.22	Gaziantep - Kayserispor	1:1

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