Match Info

Super Lig - Round 29

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: RHG Enerturk Enerji Stadyumu (Kayseri)

Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kayserispor		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.5	1.45	Watch
	6.42	4.44	1.44	Watch
	6.62	4.75	1.48
	6.27	4.76	1.46
	5.75	4.2	1.44
	6.52	4.65	1.51	Watch
	5.8	4.3	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.16 ↑ (5.86)	4.51 ↑ (4.4)	1.47 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
15.3%

Draw
20.8%

Fenerbahçe
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

22%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.5%

21.8%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bayazit B. (G) 2. Katongo J. 6. Guler S. 4. Denswil S. 30. Brenet J. 24. Tokoz D. 15. Ait Bennasser Y. 18. Makarov D. 33. Soyalp F. 7. Cardoso M. (C) 63. Chalov F.	31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 3. Brown A. 17. Kante N. 6. Guendouzi M. 45. Nene D. 94. Talisca 9. Akturkoglu K. 26. Cherif S.
Substitutes
8. Benes L. 28. Civelek R. 17. Kapacak B. 20. Mane C. 11. Mather S. 10. Mendes J. 9. Onugkha G. 1. Piri O. (G) 61. Saglam G. 22. Tuci I.	70. Aydin O. 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 7. Fred 34. Gunok M. (G) 22. Mercan L. 18. Muldur M. 20. Musaba A. 4. Soyuncu C.
Coaches
Moe E.	Tedesco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
32', Makarov D. 🟨,
33', Ederson 🟨,
35', Fred 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Kante N. ⚽, Talisca (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Skriniar M. ↓, Soyuncu C. ↑,
46', Makarov D. ↓, Civelek R. ↑,
46', Ait Bennasser Y. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Talisca ⚽, Brown A. (A),
62', 0 - 3, Nene D. ⚽,
63', Tokoz D. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
63', Katongo J. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
63', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
67', Saglam G. 🟨,
68', Semedo N. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
68', Cherif S. ↓, Musaba A. ↑,
71', Nene D. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
75', Kante N. ↓, Fred ↑,
82', Chalov F. ↓, Onugkha G. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Talisca ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 0.

Kayserispor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fenerbahçe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury) Cihan K. (Inactive) Hosseini M. (Health problems)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Asensio M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 22:50. (average 1.1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:23. (average 1:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fenerbahce	7	4	1	2	19:6	13	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
04.04.26	Kasımpaşa - Kayserispor	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Samsunspor - Kayserispor	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	1:3 ✺
01.03.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kayserispor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLT
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
05.04.26	Fenerbahçe - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Gaziantep	4:1 ✺
13.03.26	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Fenerbahçe - Samsunspor	3:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
04.03.26	Gaziantep - Fenerbahçe	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
09.11.25	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	4:2
20.04.25	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	3:3
23.11.24	Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe	2:6
12.05.24	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	3:0
20.12.23	Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe	3:4
Turkish Cup
06.04.23	Fenerbahçe - Kayserispor	4:1
Turkish Super League
04.03.23	Kayserispor - Fenerbahçe	1:2

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