Match Info

Super Lig - Round 25

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri)

Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Disney+
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Kayserispor		Trabzonspor

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.7	1.86	Watch
	3.5	3.6	1.95
	3.54	3.54	1.96
	3.78	3.77	1.98
	3.66	3.76	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.95
	3.7	3.66	2.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (4.15)	3.63 ↓ (3.84)	1.96 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
26%

Draw
25.9%

Trabzonspor
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

24.6%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

24.4%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Trabzonspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trabzonspor than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Trabzonspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	4.2%	89.6%

Kayserispor - Trabzonspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Kayserispor (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Trabzonspor (3.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Trabzonspor (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Trabzonspor will win (43 of 47 users predict this - 91.49%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.51% – 99.47%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Trabzonspor will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 2 - 8%). Trabzonspor (votes: 23 - 92%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bayazit B. (G) 30. Brenet J. 6. Guler S. 4. Denswil S. 28. Civelek R. 24. Tokoz D. 8. Benes L. 18. Makarov D. 7. Cardoso M. (C) 33. Soyalp F. 63. Chalov F.	24. Onana A. (G) 20. Pina W. 15. Savic S. (C) 44. Batagov A. 19. Eskihellac M. 42. Inao Oulai C. 11. Tufan O. 22. Zubkov O. 99. Felipe Augusto 10. Muci E. 30. Onuachu P.
Substitutes
17. Kapacak B. 2. Katongo J. 20. Mane C. 11. Mather S. 10. Mendes J. 9. Onugkha G. 1. Piri O. (G) 61. Saglam G. 99. Sariarslan T. 22. Tuci I.	17. Cakiroglu O. 25. Cevikkan O. (G) 92. Ince T. E. 14. Lovik M. 74. Malkocoglu S. 18. Nayir U. 27. Nwaiwu C. 9. Nwakaeme A. 88. Yildirim A. (G) 5. Yokuslu O.
Coaches
Moe E.	Tekke F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', Tokoz D. 🟥,
19', Civelek R. 🟨,
20', Saglam G. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Onuachu P. ⚽, Pina W. (A),
45+7', 0 - 2, Onuachu P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 3, Bayazit B. (Own goal),
62', Chalov F. ↓, Onugkha G. ↑,
65', Zubkov O. ↓, Nwakaeme A. ↑,
74', Soyalp F. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
74', Makarov D. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
76', Pina W. ↓, Yokuslu O. ↑,
76', Felipe Augusto ↓, Nayir U. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Onugkha G. ⚽, Cardoso M. (A),
89', Muci E. ↓, Nwaiwu C. ↑,
89', Inao Oulai C. ↓, Malkocoglu S. ↑,
90+1', Cardoso M. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
90+1', Civelek R. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
90+2', Bayazit B. 🟨,
90+5', Brenet J. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 1.

In recent matches, Kayserispor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trabzonspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Trabzonspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trabzonspor might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A. (Suspended) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Trabzonspor: Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Injury) Visca E. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Kayserispor: Carole L. (Injury) Hosseini M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:42. (average 1.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Trabzonspor	7	4	1	2	16:5	11	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
01.03.26	Gençlerbirliği - Kayserispor	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Kayserispor - Antalyaspor	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Göztepe - Kayserispor	0:0 ✺
09.02.26	Kayserispor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Galatasaray - Kayserispor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWTLL
- Trabzonspor
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	İstanbul Başakşehir - Trabzonspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Super League
27.02.26	Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Gaziantep - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Trabzonspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Samsunspor - Trabzonspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
03.10.25	Trabzonspor - Kayserispor	4:0
01.02.25	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	0:0
19.09.24	Trabzonspor - Kayserispor	2:2
20.04.24	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	1:2
03.12.23	Trabzonspor - Kayserispor	0:1
01.04.23	Trabzonspor - Kayserispor	3:4
01.10.22	Kayserispor - Trabzonspor	1:2

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