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Current Win Probability
Gaziantep 54.4%
Draw 24.5%
Umraniyespor 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
23.6%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
22.8%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Umraniyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
64%
24%
12%
Gaziantep - Umraniyespor Predictions
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 16 - 64%). Umraniyespor will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 45.2% – 82.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Gaziantep BB has the most likely position - 9 (8.61%), has project points - 51, has currently - 10, has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (1%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 19 (21.54%), has project points - 33, has currently - 1, has a good chance of relegated (62%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality34, importance31, match rating33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Gaziantep BB is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Umraniyespor has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gaziantep BB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Gaziantep BB is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gaziantep BB won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Gaziantep BB won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
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