The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hatayspor 41.5%
Draw 27.9%
Gaziantep 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.6%
24.4%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
24.3%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gaziantep might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hatayspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gaziantep could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
33.3%
41.7%
Hatayspor - Gaziantep Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Hatayspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Gaziantep will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gaziantep: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kardesler E. (G) 2. Corekci K. (C) 4. Calvo F. 3. Kilama G. 27. Demir C. 5. Saglam G. 17. Diack L. 99. Rivas R. 14. Rui Pedro 77. Fernandes J. 9. Aboubakar V.
1. Dioudis S. (G) 5. Ersoy E. 13. Saborit E. 36. Bruno Viana 20. Ndiaye B. 18. Sorescu D. 14. Mandouki C. 44. Maxim A. (C) 7. Eskihellac M. 9. Dervisoglu H. 11. Lungoyi C.
Substitutes
22. Alici K. 7. Bamgboye F. 12. Bekaj V. (G) 98. Boutobba B. 31. Matur O. 34. Saricali D. (G) 88. Sertel C. 10. Strandberg C. 16. Temel S. 15. Yilmaz R. B.
27. Artan O. 71. Bozan M. (G) 17. Cihan M. 6. Daubin Q. 4. Kizildag A. 19. Kodro K. 77. Okereke D. 25. Ozcicek O. 8. Soyalp F. 3. Tasdemir E.
Coaches
Calimbay R.
Inan S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Rui Pedro ⚽, Corekci K. (A),
18', Corekci K. ↓, Bamgboye F. ↑,
35', 2 - 0, Bamgboye F. ⚽, Fernandes J. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Sorescu D. ⚽, Maxim A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Mandouki C. 🟨,
63', Aboubakar V. ↓, Strandberg C. ↑,
63', Rui Pedro ↓, Temel S. ↑,
66', Ersoy E. ↓, Tasdemir E. ↑,
66', Ndiaye B. ↓, Okereke D. ↑,
71', Tasdemir E. 🟨,
74', Demir C. 🟨,
77', Demir C. ↓, Sertel C. ↑,
78', Eskihellac M. ↓, Soyalp F. ↑,
78', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Kodro K. ↑,
81', Bruno Viana 🟥,
90', Lungoyi C. ↓, Cihan M. ↑,
90+5', 3 - 1, Strandberg C. ⚽,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 12).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 1.
Hatayspor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Gaziantep BB is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Gaziantep BB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Hatayspor: Massanga Matondo
(Foot Injury)
Sertel C.
(Injury)
There will not play in Gaziantep BB: Stephen G.
(Tendon Injury)
Last 12 head-to-head matches Hatayspor won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:18 (average 0.9:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Hatayspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2).