Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 16

Date: 2 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)


	Gefle		Karlberg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.25
	2.8	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.85	3.72	2.25
	2.78	3.10	2.54	Watch
	2.93	3.44	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.52)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	2.29 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
32.9%

Draw
26.9%

Karlberg
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

26.2%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Karlberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlberg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Gefle - Karlberg Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gefle (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gefle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Strindlund V. (G) 5. Aras U. 4. Hansemon T. 12. Jacinto C. 2. Kack O. 15. Nezirevic A. 16. Persson K. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 20. Sugita Y. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.	31. Gkoulios A. (G) 10. Bergendahl Karki A. (C) 9. Dudziak K. 25. Geiger N. 3. Hellgren I. 21. Khan A. 6. Mbye M. 11. Muyenga A. 8. Negash N. 18. Rupia-Ellis A. 4. Westerberg J.
Substitutes
13. Berggren M. 21. Beronius L. 24. Ekman P. 22. Hedvall W. (G) 8. Karlsson O. 19. Lenerius L. 10. Mokede M.	17. Aslund H. 35. Bojang E. (G) 15. Hall V. 22. Lindqvist R. 12. Sequar A. 24. Sietsema L. 26. Ward K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Hansemon T. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Jacinto C. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Dudziak K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Sugita Y. ↓, Beronius L. ↑,
58', Aras U. ↓, Berggren M. ↑,
67', Geiger N. ↓, Lindqvist R. ↑,
67', Muyenga A. ↓, Ward K. ↑,
80', Kack O. ↓, Lenerius L. ↑,
80', Zahirovic A. ↓, Mokede M. ↑,
86', Dudziak K. ↓, Hall V. ↑,
86', Negash N. ↓, Sietsema L. ↑,
86', Rupia-Ellis A. ↓, Sequar A. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Gefle has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Karlberg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gefle has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gefle won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
28.06.25	Karlstad - Gefle	2:2 ✺
22.06.25	Örebro Syrianska - Gefle	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.06.25	Korsnäs - Gefle	1:0 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.06.25	Gefle - Assyriska Föreningen	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Enköping - Gefle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TLLTL
- Karlbergs BK
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.06.25	Karlberg - Sollentuna	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
24.06.25	Stocksund - Karlberg	0:5 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
19.06.25	Arlanda - Karlberg	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	Karlberg - Stockholm Internazionale	0:0 ✺
09.06.25	United Nordic - Karlberg	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.05.25	Karlberg - Gefle	0:1

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