Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 18

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Midgardsvallen (Märsta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Arlanda		Haninge

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	2.75
	2.02	3.85	2.98	Watch
	2.12	4.01	2.8
	3.44	4.14	1.84	Watch
	2.15	3.72	2.87	Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)	3.76 ↑ (3.15)	2.62 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arlanda
39.4%

Draw
24.8%

Haninge
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.7%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arlanda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Haninge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arlanda than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haninge than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Arlanda - Haninge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arlanda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedberg Lagh A. (G) 4. Aslan M. (C) 22. Butros M. 10. Charbachi A. 6. Gorgos M. 27. Johansson E. 16. Kleist L. 7. Rehman S. 19. Rydz S. 14. Tahirovic A. 21. Yemane Y.	1. Alpek C. (G) 4. Ben Lamin A. 14. Bouvin M. 7. Dejene M. 11. Dibba P. (C) 9. Khalil M. 13. Lundvall L. 5. Ndure S. 15. Pelenda C. 2. Stregart K. 10. Zengin E.
Substitutes
15. Antholm I. 26. Ekperuoh O. (G) 20. Giordano Eriksson I. 17. Issa M. 25. Safar E. 9. Strangborn F. 8. Wambani A.	8. Kass Kawo O. 22. Miguel W. 3. Nieminen Eriksson F. 21. Rajamohan A. 20. Staykov N. 19. Tesfay J. 16. Tuhral A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Charbachi A. ⚽, Yemane Y. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Dibba P. ⚽,
9', 1 - 2, Dibba P. ⚽,
16', 2 - 2, Charbachi A. (Pen),
28', Gorgos M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
58', Charbachi A. ↓, Issa M. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Staykov N. ⚽,
75', 🟨,
78', 2 - 4, Dejene M. ⚽,
84', 3 - 4, Strangborn F. ⚽, Kleist L. (A),
85', 🟨,
89', 4 - 4, Strangborn F. ⚽,
90+6', 5 - 4, Strangborn F. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arlanda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arlanda
Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.08.25	Karlberg - Arlanda	1:3 ✺
03.08.25	Stocksund - Arlanda	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Arlanda - Stockholm Internazionale	1:1 ✺
19.06.25	Arlanda - Karlberg	0:1 ✺
15.06.25	AFC Eskilstuna - Arlanda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLTLL
- IFK Haninge
Swedish Division 1 Norra
09.08.25	Haninge - Sollentuna	3:3 ✺
02.08.25	AFC Eskilstuna - Haninge	3:2 ✺
28.06.25	Haninge - Assyriska Föreningen	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Team TG - Haninge	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.06.25	Hammarby - Haninge	8:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
03.05.25	Haninge - Arlanda	2:1

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