Match Info

Date: 4 October 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Gefle		Karlslund

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.7	3.7	3.9
	1.73	3.8	3.9
	1.71	3.7	3.95
	1.81	3.86	4.04
	1.73	3.6	4.2
	1.75	3.82	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.58)	3.73 ↓ (3.83)	4.1 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
53%

Draw
24.6%

Karlslund
22.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.4%

23.6%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

15.1%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Karlslund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gefle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlslund than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlslund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gefle - Karlslund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gefle is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karlslunds is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karlslunds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gefle is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gefle won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.20	Berga - Gefle	0:0 ✺
23.09.20	Gefle - Sollentuna	6:2 ✺
18.09.20	Gefle - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
13.09.20	Gefle - Brommapojkarna	0:4 ✺
02.09.20	Sandviken - Gefle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTLT
- Karlslunds IF HFK
Svenska Cupen
01.10.20	Karlslund - AIK	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.20	Karlslund - Sandviken	1:3 ✺
23.09.20	Frej - Karlslund	3:2 ✺
19.09.20	Nyköping - Karlslund	1:1 ✺
12.09.20	Karlstad - Karlslund	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
22.08.20	Karlslund - Gefle	0:0
27.10.19	Gefle - Karlslund	2:1
11.05.19	Karlslund - Gefle	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
01.11.26	Hammarby TFF - Gefle	✺

Gefle - Karlslund