Match Info

SWEDEN: Superettan - Round 24

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Referee: Olofsson P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 3, TV4 Play


	Gefle		Östersund

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.65	3.5	2.3
	2.8	3.6	2.35	Watch
	2.88	3.62	2.37
	2.8	3.56	2.34	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.79	3.68	2.33	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.92)	3.56 ↓ (3.59)	2.32 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
33.7%

Draw
26.1%

Östersund
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

26.2%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

25.3%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Östersund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Gefle - Östersund Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gefle will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Östersund will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gefle: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Nilsson M. (G) 7. Edqvist A. 3. Adolfsson J. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 15. Friberg G. 10. Izountouemoi S. 35. Adrian S. 6. Browning L. 24. Rafael Y. 8. Lundin A. 9. Hjelte J.	12. Benediktsson A. (G) 27. Ghanoum Z. 23. Suljic A. (C) 18. Bonde P. 28. Adjoumani Y. 8. Erick Brendon 16. Sporrong A. 22. Bonnah A. 10. Marklund S. 7. Perry N. 9. Karlsson Grach S.
Substitutes
2. Adel I. 19. Aspgren C. 12. Bellman H. 11. Englund L. 1. Jonsson O. (G) 16. Persson K. 44. Ranera I.	5. Anyanwu S. 6. Hedenquist J. 15. Hopcutt J. 11. Musolitin M. 24. Norrby H. 14. Ordonez A. 77. Origi A. (G)
Coaches
Bengtsson M.	Gabrielsson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Suljic A. 🟨,
7', Adrian S. 🟨,
11', Hjelte J. ↓, Englund L. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Englund L. 🟨,
69', Perry N. ↓, Hopcutt J. ↑,
69', Bonnah A. ↓, Musolitin M. ↑,
71', Browning L. ↓, Ranera I. ↑,
71', Izountouemoi S. ↓, Aspgren C. ↑,
71', Rafael Y. ↓, Bellman H. ↑,
79', Erick Brendon ↓, Norrby H. ↑,
90+2', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
90+2', Hopcutt J. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation) and 12).

Recent matches Gefle is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Östersund is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gefle won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Gefle won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Superettan
19.09.24	Degerfors - Gefle	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Gefle - Örgryte	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Skövde AIK - Gefle	0:1 ✺
25.08.24	Gefle - Öster	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.08.24	Huddinge - Gefle	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LLWWW
- Östersunds FK
Swedish Superettan
18.09.24	Östersund - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
13.09.24	Östersund - Helsingborg	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Degerfors - Östersund	2:0 ✺
25.08.24	Östersund - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
21.08.24	Karlberg - Östersund	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
22.05.24	Östersund - Gefle	4:3
16.09.23	Östersund - Gefle	2:2
22.07.23	Gefle - Östersund	2:2

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