The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gelbison Cilento 52.1%
Draw 26.4%
Acireale 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.4%
26.1%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
25.3%
21.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Acireale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Gelbison Cilento - Acireale Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gelbison Cilento won 2.
Gelbison Cilento is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Acireale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, Gelbison Cilento is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Gelbison Cilento will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Gelbison Cilento won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Gelbison Cilento won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Watch
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