Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 25

Date: 2 February 2023, Thursday


	Gelbison Cilento		Audace Cerignola

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.75	2.4	Watch
	3	2.8	2.35
	3.2	2.8	2.2
	3.45	2.44	2.6
	3	2.75	2.4
	3.05	2.96	2.38	Watch
	3	2.75	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.27)	2.75 ↑ (2.7)	2.4 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gelbison Cilento
29.3%

Draw
32.9%

Audace Cerignola
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

33.2%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

33.7%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	43.7%	50%

Gelbison Cilento - Audace Cerignola Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Gelbison Cilento will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Audace Cerignola will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Audace Cerignola: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Audace Cerignola could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Audace Cerignola will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gelbison Cilento won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Gelbison Cilento won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie C Group C
29.01.23	Taranto - Gelbison Cilento	0:0 ✺
21.01.23	Gelbison Cilento - Virtus Francavilla	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Potenza - Gelbison Cilento	3:1 ✺
07.01.23	Gelbison Cilento - Avellino	1:1 ✺
23.12.22	Juve Stabia - Gelbison Cilento	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTL
- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
30.01.23	Audace Cerignola - Monopoli	1:3 ✺
22.01.23	Catanzaro - Audace Cerignola	4:0 ✺
15.01.23	Audace Cerignola - Fidelis Andria	2:0 ✺
07.01.23	Giugliano - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
23.12.22	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Monterosi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.22	Audace Cerignola - Gelbison Cilento	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group A
01.06.22	Audace Cerignola - Gelbison Cilento	1:0
Italian Serie D - Group H
01.03.20	Gelbison Cilento - Audace Cerignola	2:1
27.10.19	Audace Cerignola - Gelbison Cilento	2:1
07.04.19	Gelbison Cilento - Audace Cerignola	0:0

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