Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 22

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Audace Cerignola		Fidelis Andria

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.1	4.4
	1.8	3.45	3.75
	1.78	3.1	4.2
	1.67	3.39	4.17
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.7	3.5	4.55	Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.95)	3.28 ↑ (2.95)	4.2 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
51.3%

Draw
27.3%

Fidelis Andria
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

30.4%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

29.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Audace Cerignola's performance.

Fidelis Andria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fidelis Andria than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Audace Cerignola - Fidelis Andria Predictions

Users Predictions: Audace Cerignola will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 3.

Recent matches Audace Cerignola is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fidelis Andria has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
07.01.23	Giugliano - Audace Cerignola	1:1 ✺
23.12.22	Audace Cerignola - Nuova Monterosi	3:0 ✺
19.12.22	Audace Cerignola - Juve Stabia	4:2 ✺
11.12.22	Latina - Audace Cerignola	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Audace Cerignola - Crotone	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWLL
- Fidelis Andria
Italian Serie C Group C
07.01.23	Fidelis Andria - Viterbese	1:1 ✺
23.12.22	Potenza - Fidelis Andria	2:1 ✺
18.12.22	Fidelis Andria - Latina	0:3 ✺
11.12.22	Avellino - Fidelis Andria	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Fidelis Andria - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.09.22	Fidelis Andria - Audace Cerignola	1:2
Italian Serie D - Group H
24.02.21	Audace Cerignola - Fidelis Andria	0:0
04.10.20	Fidelis Andria - Audace Cerignola	0:0
12.01.20	Audace Cerignola - Fidelis Andria	6:3
03.03.19	Fidelis Andria - Audace Cerignola	0:1
11.11.18	Audace Cerignola - Fidelis Andria	1:1

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