Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Gelbison Cilento		Paternò

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.55	3.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 (1.8)	3.55 (3.55)	3.31 (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 13.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gelbison Cilento
48.8%

Draw
24.7%

Paternò
26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

23.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Gelbison Cilento have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Paternò have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Gelbison Cilento has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paternò has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gelbison Cilento will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gelbison Cilento won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Gelbison Cilento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Gelbison Cilento - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 48.76%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Sambiase - Gelbison Cilento	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gela - Gelbison Cilento	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Gelbison Cilento - Enna	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWL
- ASD Paternò 1908
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.01.26	Paternò - Vibonese	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Paternò - Nissa	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Castrumfavara - Paternò	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Paternò - Reggina	0:2 ✺
30.11.25	Milazzo - Paternò	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
13.03.22	Gelbison Cilento - Paternò	2:0
01.11.21	Paternò - Gelbison Cilento	0:2
14.02.21	Paternò - Gelbison Cilento	1:3

Gelbison Cilento - Paternò: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide