Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Sambiase		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	1.88	2.98	4.15
	1.83	2.94	4.87	Watch
	1.85	2.8	4.2
	1.9	3.11	4.5
	1.77	2.85	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.46)	2.96 ↓ (3.23)	4.38 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambiase
48.4%

Draw
30.7%

Gelbison Cilento
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

27.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

28.5%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambiase has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sambiase's performance.

Gelbison Cilento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gelbison Cilento might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sambiase that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gelbison Cilento could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sambiase - Gelbison Cilento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Ortolini R. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Colombatti G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
70', 2 - 1, Ferreira D. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sambiase will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sambiase	6	4	1	1	10:5	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sambiase
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Sambiase - Reggina	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Nissa - Sambiase	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sambiase - Milazzo	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Sambiase - Enna	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Paternò - Sambiase	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLTW
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
21.12.25	Gela - Gelbison Cilento	0:2 ✺
14.12.25	Gelbison Cilento - Enna	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Athletic Palermo - Gelbison Cilento	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWLL

Sambiase - Gelbison Cilento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide