Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Acireale		Gelbison Cilento

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.58
	2.36	3.49	2.61	Watch
	2.38	3.3	2.57
	2.42	3.25	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.4)	3.34 ↓ (3.36)	2.6 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acireale
38%

Draw
27.1%

Gelbison Cilento
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

27.2%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acireale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gelbison Cilento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acireale than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gelbison Cilento than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Acireale - Gelbison Cilento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+4', 0 - 1, Ferreira M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Recent performances by Acireale have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gelbison Cilento is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Acireale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Acireale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acireale Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
30.11.25	Nissa - Acireale	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Acireale - Castrumfavara	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Sambiase - Acireale	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Acireale - Reggina	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	Acireale - Paternò	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WLTTW
- ASD Gelbison Cilento
Italian Serie D - Group I
30.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Sancataldese	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Athletic Palermo - Gelbison Cilento	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - ACR Messina	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Gelbison Cilento	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gelbison Cilento - Savoia	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
14.04.22	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	1:0
05.12.21	Gelbison Cilento - Acireale	0:1
14.04.21	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	0:1
07.01.18	Gelbison Cilento - Acireale	2:2
03.09.17	Acireale - Gelbison Cilento	2:1

Acireale - Gelbison Cilento: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide