Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Leandro Ovelar (Doctor Juan León Mallorquin)

Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Usa	Fanatiz


	General Caballero JLM		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.6	3	1.95
	3.9	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4.38	3.23	1.99
	3.96	2.97	2.08	Watch
	4	3	1.95
	4.12	3.31	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.55)	3.13 ↓ (3.25)	1.97 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Caballero JLM
23.3%

Draw
29.6%

Libertad Asuncion
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

28.2%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

26.8%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Caballero JLM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

General Caballero JLM - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. General Caballero will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. General Caballero (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Libertad (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Tales (G) 6. Mareco M. 14. Rodas A. 16. Gonzalez J. 25. Aguilera A. D. 8. Torales S. 10. Arce S. (C) 28. Franco J. 29. Gimenez O. 3. Sanchez A. 7. Ferreira M.	1. Silva M. (C) 3. Rojas R. 5. Viera D. 4. Gimenez N. 17. Espinoza M. 13. Bogarin J. 26. Caballero H. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 20. Fernandez H. 11. Aguilar G. 24. Santa C. R.
Substitutes
22. Arguello V. 18. Armoa J. 23. Baigorria A. 5. Caceres L. 27. Fernandez E. 9. Gonzalez C. 1. Guillen L. (G) 31. Machuca M. 21. Schabus M. 32. Vega G.	6. Campuzano A. 7. Cardozo O. 28. Fernandez M. 18. Franco I. 25. Gonzalez A. (G) 27. Jacquet M. 22. Martinez H. 10. Melgarejo L. 19. Recalde J. 21. Sanabria L. 35. Troche A. 23. Villalba P.
Coaches
Ovelar H.	Guinazu P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Gimenez O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Torales S. ↓, Machuca M. ↑,
59', Ferreira M. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
60', Bogarin J. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
60', Fernandez H. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
61', Gimenez O. ↓, Arguello V. ↑,
64', Santa C. R. ↓, Melgarejo L. ↑,
64', Cardozo Lucena A. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
85', Arce S. ↓, Schabus M. ↑,
87', Aguilar G. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
90', Sanabria L. 🟨,
90', Recalde J. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 2.

General Caballero is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Libertad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Libertad could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, General Caballero won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.9:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

General Caballero JLM - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.86%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Caballero JLM
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.08.25	Guaraní Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	4:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.08.25	Humaitá - General Caballero JLM	2:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.08.25	General Caballero JLM - Olimpia Asuncion	2:0 ✺
15.08.25	Deportivo Recoleta - General Caballero JLM	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Ameliano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWTW
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.08.25	Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
28.08.25	24 de Setiembre - Libertad Asuncion	0:5 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.25	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:4 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.08.25	River Plate - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.08.25	Olimpia Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
24.05.25	Libertad Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	1:0
22.03.25	General Caballero JLM - Libertad Asuncion	0:5
17.11.24	General Caballero JLM - Libertad Asuncion	3:1
31.08.24	Libertad Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	0:1
02.06.24	Libertad Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	2:0
16.03.24	General Caballero JLM - Libertad Asuncion	0:2
23.10.23	General Caballero JLM - Libertad Asuncion	0:0

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