Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Leandro Ovelar (Doctor Juan León Mallorquin)


	General Caballero JLM		Sportivo Ameliano

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.55	Watch
	3	2.87	2.25
	2.88	2.92	2.48	Watch
	2.98	2.81	2.79
	3.04	2.93	2.50	Watch
	2.84	3.1	2.54	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)	2.49 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Caballero JLM
31.6%

Draw
31.1%

Sportivo Ameliano
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.8%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

26.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Caballero JLM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Ameliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Tales (G) 2. Cabrera R. 4. Molinas G. 6. Mareco M. (C) 16. Gonzalez J. 18. Armoa J. 8. Torales S. 11. Salinas R. 22. Arguello V. 28. Franco J. 21. Schabus M.	23. Martinez M. (G) 24. Martinich M. 3. Baez F. 4. Benitez H. 26. Gonzalez J. (C) 5. Valdez D. 8. Moreira E. 11. Vera F. 10. Vera E. 7. Samudio A. 21. Sarquis E.
Substitutes
10. Arce S. 5. Caceres L. 30. Diaz E. 27. Fernandez E. 7. Ferreira M. 9. Gonzalez C. 1. Guillen L. (G) 14. Rodas A. 32. Vega G. 15. Villalba V.	20. Alfonso F. 16. Aranda P. 25. Balbuena J. (G) 27. Escobar R. 22. Falabella L. 29. Gonzalez E. 18. Isa Luna K. 37. Lezcano Olmedo T. E. 15. Paredes M. 28. Sanguina J. 31. Servian A. 38. Torales J.
Coaches
Ovelar H.	Garcia H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', Baez F. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Sarquis E. ⚽, Vera F. (A),
28', 0 - 2, Vera E. ⚽,
32', Schabus M. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
39', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Arguello V. ↓, Arce S. ↑,
63', Valdez D. ↓, Alfonso F. ↑,
66', Armoa J. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Gonzalez C. ⚽, Cabrera R. (A),
75', 2 - 2, Salinas R. ⚽,
79', Samudio A. ↓, Sanguina J. ↑,
87', Vera E. ↓, Isa Luna K. ↑,
88', Vera F. ↓, Servian A. ↑,
88', Sarquis E. ↓, Paredes M. ↑,
90+1', Tales ↓, Guillen L. ↑,
90+2', Salinas R. ↓, Roa R. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 2, Roa R. ⚽, Arce S. (A),
90+6', Benitez H. 🟥,
90+10', Arce S. 🟨,
90+13', Sanguina J. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 3.

Recent form of General Caballero has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sportivo Ameliano is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

General Caballero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, General Caballero won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 0.7:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Caballero JLM
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.08.25	Atlético Tembetary - General Caballero JLM	0:1 ✺
29.07.25	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Trinidense	0:0 ✺
25.07.25	Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	3:0 ✺
18.07.25	General Caballero JLM - 2 de Mayo	0:1 ✺
11.07.25	Sportivo Luqueño - General Caballero JLM	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTLLL
- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.08.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion	0:4 ✺
31.07.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	4:1 ✺
27.07.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion	1:1 ✺
21.07.25	Deportivo Recoleta - Sportivo Ameliano	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Sportivo Ameliano - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
16.04.25	Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM	0:1
02.02.25	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Ameliano	1:0
25.11.24	Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM	0:1
13.09.24	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Ameliano	0:4
20.04.24	Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM	2:0
28.01.24	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1
24.11.23	Sportivo Ameliano - General Caballero JLM	1:2

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