Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Libertad Asuncion		Guaraní Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.20	3.30
	2	3.2	3.45
	2	3.28	3.8
	2	3.32	3.7	Watch
	1.96	3.2	3.7
	2.05	3.28	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2)	3.25 ↓ (3.3)	3.59 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
46.1%

Draw
28.3%

Guaraní Asuncion
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

28.3%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

30.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Guaraní could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Libertad is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Libertad has recorded 6 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:26 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Libertad against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with 11:19 goals (averaging 1.1:1.9 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Libertad Asuncion	13	8	2	3	21:14	7	26
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21

Last Results with these Odds

Libertad Asuncion - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.57%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.10.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
23.09.26	Fernando de la Mora - Libertad Asuncion	1:2 penalties ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
19.09.26	Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTW
- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.10.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
18.09.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
02.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1
05.04.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:0
08.02.26	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	3:3
09.11.25	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	1:2
Copa Paraguay
01.10.25	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	2:3 penalties
Paraguayan Primera Division
25.08.25	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:4
19.04.25	Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3

Libertad Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide