The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Ameliano 22.3%
Draw 26%
Olimpia Asuncion 51.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
23%
25.4%
51.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.5%
24.8%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Ameliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Sportivo Ameliano - Olimpia Asuncion Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Olimpia (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Sanchez A. (G) 13. Peralta R. 26. Gonzalez J. (C) 22. Falabella A. 21. Franco F. 20. Larralde V. 15. Rodriguez W. 7. Vera F. 10. Cabral R. 14. Paez E. 9. Ocampos C.
1. Olveira G. (G) 27. Caceres R. 14. Vargas G. 15. Gamarra M. 30. Rodriguez Armoa A. F. 7. Cardozo F. 8. Franco Zayas A. F. 6. Ortiz R. (C) 20. Delmas E. 11. Ferreira S. 9. Avalos G.
Substitutes
28. Avalos A. 24. Ayala L. 3. Baez F. 1. Balbuena J. (G) 5. Benitez H. 6. Benitez J. 32. Camargo G. M. 16. Favero C. 8. Moreira E. 18. Ortiz L. 2. Suarez L. 17. Torales R.
35. Alfonso F. 37. Benitez R. 2. Bentaberry B. 24. Caballero Fleytas T. I. 16. Dominguez J. 29. Leguizamon I. 12. Lentinelly S. (G) 23. Matus E. 4. Payne T. 18. Quintana S. 17. Redes R. 26. Sanchez R.
Coaches
Nanni R.
Sanchez P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Avalos G. ⚽, Gamarra M. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Falabella A. ⚽, Gonzalez J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Ortiz R. 🟨,
52', Larralde V. 🟨,
54', Cardozo F. 🟨,
56', Ocampos C. ↓, Torales R. ↑,
56', Delmas E. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
56', Ferreira S. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
59', 1 - 2, Sanchez R. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
62', Larralde V. ↓, Moreira E. ↑,
62', Paez E. ↓, Favero C. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Sanchez R. ⚽, Avalos G. (A),
65', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Leguizamon I. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Vera F. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Rodriguez W. ↓, Camargo G. M. ↑,
73', Cabral R. ↓, Ayala L. ↑,
79', Avalos G. ↓, Caballero Fleytas T. I. ↑,
80', Cardozo F. ↓, Quintana S. ↑,
88', Gonzalez J. 🟥,
90+4', Gamarra M. 🟨,
90+5', Camargo G. M. 🟨,
90+5', Franco F. 🟨,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 1st in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Ameliano won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Sportivo Ameliano (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Olimpia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Olimpia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Sportivo Ameliano has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Olimpia for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Ameliano has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:26 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Ameliano against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.2 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Olimpia Asuncion
16
10
3
3
28:12
16
33
8
Ameliano
16
4
7
5
19:21
-2
19
Last Results with these Odds
Sportivo Ameliano - the odds 4.07 are the expected chance of winning is 22.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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Sanchez A. (G) 
Falabella A. 
Bentaberry B. 
Matus E. 
Payne T. 
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