Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday


	General Lamadrid		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.8	5.25
	1.52	4	5
	1.5	3.93	5.99
	1.51	3.93	5.99
	1.49	4.04	6.14
	1.49	3.9	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.58)	3.93 ↑ (3.65)	5.63 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

General Lamadrid
60.6%

Draw
23.2%

Mercedes
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

24.8%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

General Lamadrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Lamadrid than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

General Lamadrid - Mercedes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, Campostrini C. (Pen),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 22).

Recent matches General Lamadrid is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mercedes is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mercedes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match General Lamadrid is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- General Lamadrid
Argentinian Primera C
17.04.24	Deportivo Muñiz - General Lamadrid	2:3 ✺
05.04.24	General Lamadrid - Ituzaingó	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	El Porvenir - General Lamadrid	0:2 ✺
27.03.24	General Lamadrid - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	General Lamadrid - Berazategui	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWL
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
13.04.24	Mercedes - Ituzaingó	0:4 ✺
10.04.24	El Porvenir - Mercedes	4:0 ✺
06.04.24	Mercedes - Club Luján	2:1 ✺
01.04.24	Sportivo Barracas - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
27.03.24	Mercedes - Berazategui	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWTL

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