Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera C - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Mercedes		Club Luján

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.87
	2.35	3	2.95	Watch
	2.34	3	2.98
	2.31	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.33)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.93 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mercedes
38.8%

Draw
30.3%

Club Luján
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

31.1%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Club Luján has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (-1%)

Mercedes - Club Luján Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Auteri S. ⚽, Gatti F. N. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Gatti F. N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', Auteri S. 🟥,
84', 2 - 1, Dinocco R. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).

Recent matches Mercedes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Club Luján is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
01.04.24	Sportivo Barracas - Mercedes	1:1 ✺
27.03.24	Mercedes - Berazategui	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Deportivo Yupanqui - Mercedes	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLTLW
- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
31.03.24	Club Luján - Deportivo Muñiz	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	General Lamadrid - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	El Porvenir - Club Luján	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Club Luján - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Club Luján - Sportivo Barracas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWTW

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