Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Sportivo Barracas		Mercedes

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.25
	3	3	2.3
	2.96	2.94	2.45
	2.97	2.94	2.45
	3.25	3	2.1
	2.99	3.02	2.32
	3	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	2.98 ↓ (3.14)	2.31 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Barracas
30.1%

Draw
30.5%

Mercedes
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

29.1%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

28.1%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Barracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Barracas than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Sportivo Barracas - Mercedes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 🟥,
44', 1 - 0, Bermejo M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
84', 🟥,
85', 1 - 1, Cejas J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 24 and 17).

Sportivo Barracas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mercedes is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sportivo Barracas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mercedes will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Barracas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Barracas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Barracas
Argentinian Primera C
28.03.24	Deportivo Muñiz - Sportivo Barracas	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Barracas	2:2 ✺
18.03.24	Sportivo Barracas - General Lamadrid	0:3 ✺
08.03.24	Sportivo Barracas - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Club Luján - Sportivo Barracas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLTL
- Club Mercedes
Argentinian Primera C
27.03.24	Mercedes - Berazategui	2:3 ✺
23.03.24	Mercedes - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Deportivo Yupanqui - Mercedes	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Deportivo Paraguayo - Mercedes	0:1 ✺
02.03.24	Mercedes - Real Pilar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera D
03.10.23	Sportivo Barracas - Mercedes	1:1
24.06.23	Mercedes - Sportivo Barracas	0:0
22.04.23	Mercedes - Sportivo Barracas	2:1
24.09.22	Mercedes - Sportivo Barracas	2:1
11.07.22	Sportivo Barracas - Mercedes	3:0

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