Match Info

Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni (Posadas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3


	Bartolomé Mitre		General San Martín de Formosa

	1	X	2
	3.10	2.85	2.20
	3.05	2.85	2.22
	3.06	3	2.15
	3.1	3.08	2.27	Watch
	3	2.9	2.1
	3.14	2.98	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.35)	2.94 ↓ (3)	2.19 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bartolomé Mitre
29%

Draw
30.3%

General San Martín de Formosa
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

30.6%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

29.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bartolomé Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Bartolomé Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bachke G. (G) 8. Arraya L. 7. Arregui L. 11. Caceres A. 3. Canzoniero L. 5. Comes M. A. 2. Espindola M. 4. Esquivel L. 9. Klusener A. 14. Lukoski K. 6. Rodriguez R.	1. Morichi P. (G) 11. Alegre G. 5. Bobadilla M. 8. Calo L. 7. Ceratto L. 2. Finardi B. 3. Leguizamon M. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 4. Sanchez de Leon B. 9. Siergiejuk M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 9th in the Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion ~ Torneo Federal Playoffs).

Bartolomé Mitre is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

San Martín Formosa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with San Martín Formosa holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Bartolomé Mitre has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bartolomé Mitre against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

General San Martín de Formosa - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.09.26	9 de Julio - Bartolomé Mitre	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Sportivo Belgrano - Bartolomé Mitre	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Douglas Haig	0:3 ✺
16.08.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLLL
- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.09.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	General San Martín de Formosa - 9 de Julio	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima Chivilcoy - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
12.08.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.07.26	General San Martín de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0
17.05.26	Bartolomé Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa	2:0
01.06.25	Bartolomé Mitre - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1
30.03.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0

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