The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
General San Martín de Formosa 53.5%
Draw 27.5%
Sarmiento de La Banda 19%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.2%
27.9%
19.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.7%
26.1%
18.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General San Martín de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
General San Martín de Formosa - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Humeler K. (G) 11. Alegre G. 5. Bobadilla M. 7. Ceratto L. 4. Finardi B. 3. Griego A. 6. Leiva D. 10. Nunez G. 2. Piris O. 9. Siergiejuk M. 8. Tapia R.
1. Acuna F. (G) 4. Diaz C. 11. Diaz Cantoni M. 9. Gonzalez N. 6. Guzman G. 5. Juarez N. 2. Nunez C. 8. Ochoa A. 10. Roldan I. 3. Sanchez M. 7. Triverio G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Tapia R. ⚽,
16', Juarez N. 🟨,
19', 2 - 0, Tapia R. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, Siergiejuk M. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martín Formosa won 2.
San Martín Formosa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sarmiento La Banda's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sarmiento La Banda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, San Martín Formosa is a strong favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Martín Formosa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martín Formosa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).