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Current Win Probability
General Velásquez 37.1%
Draw 29.8%
Trasandino de Los Andes 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
27.7%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
27.4%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General Velásquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that General Velásquez's form might have worsened.
Trasandino de Los Andes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for General Velásquez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trasandino de Los Andes than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
General Velásquez - Trasandino de Los Andes Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Abarca F. (G) 24. Abarca J. 17. Alfaro M. 26. Arriaza C. 10. Bustamante B. 3. Carrasco I. 11. Lorca J. 8. Pavez J. 14. Pizarro C. 28. Rivera B. 21. Villablanca M.
1. Cabello S. (G) 21. Abarca Antil F. A. 11. Araneda B. 2. Bravo S. 6. Carrasco Reyes M. J. 24. Mella J. 27. Navarrete C. 10. Quinones J. 14. Riquelme A. 3. Sotomayor J. 5. Torres M.
Substitutes
4. Lopez F. 7. Lorca J. 18. Muza J. 1. Nunez W. (G) 6. Pinto B. 15. Torres L. 9. Vargas L.
25. Cortes A. 9. Cuvertino E. 16. Letelier Garcia N. I. 15. Poza L. 12. Reyes M. (G) 19. Rodriguez A. 17. Silva Alamos M. I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Pizarro C. 🟨,
17', Arriaza C. 🟨,
31', Carrasco Reyes M. J. 🟨,
42', Carrasco Reyes M. J. 🟨,
43', Abarca J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lorca J. ↓, Vargas L. ↑,
46', Alfaro M. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
46', Abarca Antil F. A. ↓, Letelier Garcia N. I. ↑,
58', Torres M. 🟨,
62', Navarrete C. ↓, Silva Alamos M. I. ↑,
68', Araneda B. ↓, Cuvertino E. ↑,
70', Villablanca M. ↓, Muza J. ↑,
78', Cuvertino E. 🟨,
82', Riquelme A. 🟥,
83', Bustamante B. 🟥,
90+6', Muza J. 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, General Velásquez won 2.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Trasandino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, General Velásquez won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.5:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, General Velásquez won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).
Standings
Promotion Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Trasandino
6
2
3
1
10:6
4
9
Last Results with these Odds
Trasandino de Los Andes - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 29.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.