The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
General Velásquez 29.3%
Draw 26.8%
Colchagua 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
28.8%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
29.5%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General Velásquez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that General Velásquez's form might have worsened.
Colchagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colchagua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for General Velásquez than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for General Velásquez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchagua than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colchagua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
General Velásquez - Colchagua Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Abarca F. (G) 24. Abarca J. 26. Arriaza C. 10. Bustamante B. 7. Lorca J. 8. Pavez J. 14. Pizarro C. 20. Riquelme R. 28. Rivera B. 16. Sepulveda Riveros F. 21. Villablanca M.
1. Cancino Herrera R. E. (G) 16. Carrasco O. 7. Diaz R. 20. Marin C. 2. Martin M. 4. Olea M. 9. Perez V. M. 5. Rodriguez C. 18. Salas Pizarro D. E. 27. Segovia R. 10. Tobar J.
Substitutes
17. Alfaro M. 12. Cerda J. (G) 11. Lorca J. 25. Monjes J. 18. Muza J. 6. Pinto B. 15. Torres L.
11. Alegria J. 8. Diaz R. 24. Moreno E. 23. Pavez C. 6. Ponce A. 12. Quezada J. (G) 17. Valenzuela C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lorca J. ↓, Alfaro M. ↑,
46', Martin M. ↓, Pavez C. ↑,
50', Arriaza C. 🟨,
57', Carrasco O. 🟨,
58', Marin C. ↓, Ponce A. ↑,
58', Tobar J. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
59', Riquelme R. 🟥,
64', Villablanca M. ↓, Lorca J. ↑,
78', Diaz R. 🟨,
82', Carrasco O. ↓, Valenzuela C. ↑,
82', Diaz R. ↓, Moreno E. ↑,
85', Sepulveda Riveros F. ↓, Pinto B. ↑,
85', Perez V. M. 🟥,
90', Bustamante B. ↓, Muza J. ↑,
90', Arriaza C. ↓, Monjes J. ↑,
Preview
In recent matches, General Velásquez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Colchagua is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
General Velásquez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, General Velásquez won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, General Velásquez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Standings
Promotion Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Colchagua
6
1
1
4
2:4
-2
4
Last Results with these Odds
General Velásquez - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.18%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Abarca F. (G) 
Martin M. 
Alegria J. 
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