Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	20:00	Polsat Sport News
Serbia	20:00	Arena Sport
Slovakia	20:00	Arena sport 1


	Genk		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	1.67	4	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.9	4.33
	1.77	3.9	4.35
	1.77	4	4.33
	1.76	3.98	4.63
	1.62	3.6	4.33
	1.75	3.9	4.3
	1.78	4.1	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.93)	3.92 ↑ (3.59)	4.38 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
54.4%

Draw
24.1%

Olympiacos Piraeus
21.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.8%

26.2%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

27%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Genk's performance.

Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	7.4%	25.9%

Genk - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 46. Cuesta C. (C) 4. Ouattara A. 2. McKenzie M. 23. Munoz D. 34. El Khannouss B. 17. Hrosovsky P. 18. Kayembe J. 14. Sor Y. 28. Paintsil J. 7. Fadera A.	1. Paschalakis A. (G) 23. Rodinei 45. Retsos P. 16. Freire N. 18. Quini 4. Camara M. 8. Iborra V. 19. Masouras G. 20. Carvalho J. 7. Fortounis K. (C) 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
19. Ait El Hadj A. 99. Arokodare T. 5. Arteaga G. 70. Bangoura I. S. 90. Bonsu Baah C. 25. Galarza M. A. 72. Ndenge Kongolo J. 24. Oyen L. 41. Penders M. (G) 3. Sadick M. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)	15. Alexandropoulos S. 12. Bah A. 21. Biel P. 11. El Arabi Y. 74. Ntoi A. 99. Papadoudis A. (G) 25. Porozo J. 2. Ramon 88. Tzolakis K. (G) 17. Vrousai M.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Martinez D.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Olympiacos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Genk is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Genk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Genk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.08.23	Cercle Brugge - Genk	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Genk	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.08.23	Genk - Eupen	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Genk - Servette	2:3 penalties ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.07.23	RWDM Brussels - Genk	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Genk	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Norwich City - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:0 ✺
26.07.23	Glasgow Rangers - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:3 ✺
19.07.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Sabah	1:1 ✺
14.07.23	Nordsjælland - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Olympiacos Piraeus - Genk	1:0
Club Friendly
21.07.18	Genk - Olympiacos Piraeus	4:0

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