Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: De Cremer W. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Cercle Brugge		Genk

	1	X	2
	3	3.8	2.1	Watch
	3.15	3.65	2.1
	3.29	3.78	2.15
	3.29	3.95	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.03)	3.8 ↑ (3.65)	2.12 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cercle Brugge
29.9%

Draw
25.1%

Genk
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

25.8%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

25.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cercle Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Cercle Brugge - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cercle Brugge will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Genk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Genk (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Delanghe M. (G) 3. Utkus E. 5. Kakou E. 66. Ravych C. 15. Magnee G. 17. Adewumi O. 18. Gerkens P. 28. van der Bruggen H. (C) 37. Diop E. 9. Ngoura S. 10. Diakite O.	1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 27. Nkuba K. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 18. Kayembe J. 21. Bangoura I. 8. Heynen B. (C) 7. Steuckers J. 17. Hrosovsky P. 14. Sor Y. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu
Substitutes
27. De Wilde N. 19. Diaby I. 8. Erick Nunes 23. Jurado H. 41. Kouassi K. 11. Minda A. 20. Nazinho 7. Ouattara A. K. 1. Warleson (G)	32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 28. Brughmans L. (G) 38. Heymans D. 20. Karetsas K. 44. Kongolo J. 19. Medina Y. 29. Mirisola R. 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N.
Coaches
Cinel O.	Fink T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Hrosovsky P. ⚽, Oh Hyeon-Gyu (A),
29', Bangoura I. 🟨,
34', Ngoura S. ↓, Minda A. ↑,
36', van der Bruggen H. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Minda A. ⚽, Magnee G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sor Y. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
56', Diakite O. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Oh Hyeon-Gyu ⚽, Medina Y. (A),
66', Nkuba K. 🟨,
68', 2 - 2, Diop E. (Pen),
69', Utkus E. ↓, Nazinho ↑,
69', Adewumi O. ↓, Ouattara A. K. ↑,
70', Bangoura I. ↓, Karetsas K. ↑,
78', Diop E. ↓, Erick Nunes ↑,
89', Steuckers J. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
90', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
90', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Heymans D. ↑,
90+6', Nazinho 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 1.

Cercle Brugge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Genk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Genk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diakite I. (Broken ankle) Nazinho (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Genk: El Ouahdi Z. (Shoulder Injury) Heymans D. (Ankle Injury) Lawal T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cercle Brugge: Utkus E. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:34. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cercle Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
04.10.25	Royal Antwerp - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:4 ✺
21.09.25	KV Mechelen - Cercle Brugge	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Cercle Brugge - Charleroi	2:3 ✺
29.08.25	Cercle Brugge - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTLT
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.10.25	Genk - Dender EH	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.10.25	Genk - Ferencvárosi	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.09.25	Sint-Truidense - Genk	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.25	Glasgow Rangers - Genk	0:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.09.25	Genk - Saint-Gilloise	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.02.25	Genk - Cercle Brugge	2:1
14.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Genk	2:3
04.05.24	Cercle Brugge - Genk	4:1
13.04.24	Genk - Cercle Brugge	1:1
20.01.24	Genk - Cercle Brugge	1:1
13.08.23	Cercle Brugge - Genk	0:1
17.03.23	Cercle Brugge - Genk	1:1

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