Match Info
Jupiler Pro League - Conference League - Play Offs - FinalDate: 31 May 2026, SundayLocation: Planet Group Arena (Gent)Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
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Gent |
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Genk |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Gent
44.6% | Draw
26.8% | Genk
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent's performance.Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Genk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-13.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Genk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Gent will win (votes: 20 - 69%). Genk will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gent: 52.2% – 85.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.25 - Gent (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gent will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
33.  Roef D. (C)
4.  Hashioka D.
22.  Lopes L.
44. Van Der Heyden S.
20. Araujo T.
15. Ito A.
27. De Vlieger T.
17. Delorge-Knieper M.
8.  Skoras M.
7.  Kanga W.
37.  Kadri A.
| 28. Brughmans L. (G)
65.  Akpan C.
24.  Sattlberger N.
44. Kongolo J.
34.  Palacios A.
8. Heynen B. (C)
21.  Bangoura I.
7. Steuckers J.
38. Heymans D.
30. Yokoyama A.
23.  Bibout A.
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| Substitutes |
75.  Cisse I.
56. Diallo M.
45. Goore H.
24.  Hong Hyun-Seok
10.  Omgba A.
30. Peersman K. (G)
59. Seck E. H.
11.  Sonko M.
57. Volckaert M.
| 56. De Wannemacker A.
99. Erabi J.
86. Haroun K.
63. Henry Z.
26. Lawal T. (G)
29. Mirisola R.
79.  Nzoko D.
2.  Pierre K.
14. Sor Y.
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| Coaches |
De Mil R.
| Hayen N.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Kongolo J. 🟨,
- 64', Bibout A. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
- 64', Steuckers J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
- 66', Ito A. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
- 72', Kadri A. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
- 73', Araujo T. 🟨,
- 86', Palacios A. ↓, Pierre K. ↑,
- 86', Bangoura I. 🟨,
- 88', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 96', 0 - 1, Mirisola R. ⚽, Pierre K. (A),
- 102', Heymans D. ↓, De Wannemacker A. ↑,
- 105', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,
- 106', Skoras M. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
- 106', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
- 106', Hashioka D. ↓, Seck E. H. ↑,
- 118', Kongolo J. 🟨,
- 119', 1 - 1, De Vlieger T. (Penalty Awarded),
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, De Vlieger T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Heynen B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Goore H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Mirisola R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Lopes L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Sattlberger N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Omgba A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Yokoyama A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Sonko M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, De Wannemacker A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 0.Recent form of Gent has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Genk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Gent may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.There will not play in Gent: Ayinde A.
(Injury)
De Meyer G.
(Shoulder Injury)
Essaouabi H.
(Inactive)
Paskotsi M.
(Muscle Injury)
Samoise M.
(Knee Injury)There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N.
(Injury)
Karetsas K.
(Ankle Injury)
Smets M.
(Inactive)There are questionable in Gent: Dean M.
(Inactive)
Goore H.
(Injury)There are questionable in Genk: El Ouahdi Z.
(Injury)In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.1:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.1:1.6).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Gent | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
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| 7 | Genk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Genk - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Belgian Jupiler Pro League | | | 01.03.26 | Genk - Gent | 3:0 | | 09.11.25 | Gent - Genk | 1:1 | | 18.05.25 | Gent - Genk | 1:4 | | 30.03.25 | Genk - Gent | 4:0 | | 23.02.25 | Genk - Gent | 0:0 | | 27.10.24 | Gent - Genk | 0:2 | | 02.06.24 | Genk - Gent | 0:1 |
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