Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Eupen		Genk

	1	X	2
	6.5	5.25	1.4	Watch
	6.5	5.25	1.4
	7.5	5	1.38	Watch
	7.33	5.47	1.4
	7.33	5.47	1.39
	7	5	1.33
	6.8	5.1	1.39	Watch
	7.2	5.6	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.02 ↓ (7.1)	5.27 ↓ (5.46)	1.38 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eupen
13.5%

Draw
18%

Genk
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

17.3%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

15.2%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eupen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Genk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	11.8%	76.5%

Eupen - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Genk will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Slonina G. (G) 28. Paeshuyse R. 4. Palsson V. (C) 21. Kral J. 15. Magnee G. 6. Baiye B. 23. Christie-Davies I. 3. Davidson J. 19. Pantovic M. 27. Finnbogason A. 7. Nuhu I.	26. Vandevoordt M. (G) 23. Munoz D. 3. Sadick M. 46. Cuesta C. 5. Arteaga G. 8. Heynen B. (C) 17. Hrosovsky P. 28. Paintsil J. 10. El Khannouss B. 7. Fadera A. 14. Sor Y.
Substitutes
11. Bitumazala N. 10. Charles-Cook R. 14. Deom J. 25. Filin A. 8. Mohwald K. 99. Roufosse T. (G) 2. Van Genechten Y.	19. Ait El Hadj A. 99. Arokodare T. 90. Bonsu Baah C. 25. Galarza M. A. 18. Kayembe J. 41. Penders M. (G) 9. Zeqiri A.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Vrancken W.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eupen won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Eupen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Genk is certain favorite.

There will not play in Eupen: Alloh T. (Muscle Injury) Bialek B. (Knee Injury) Lambert B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Eupen won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 18-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Eupen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.12.23	Eupen - Kortrijk	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Cercle Brugge - Eupen	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Eupen - RWDM Brussels	1:3 ✺
03.11.23	Sint-Truidense - Eupen	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
31.10.23	Eupen - Oostende	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLTL
- Racing Genk
Belgian Cup
06.12.23	Oostende - Genk	3:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.12.23	Genk - Gent	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.11.23	Fiorentina - Genk	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.11.23	Standard Liège - Genk	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Genk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.08.23	Genk - Eupen	0:1
01.02.23	Eupen - Genk	1:1
06.08.22	Genk - Eupen	4:2
03.04.22	Genk - Eupen	5:0
03.10.21	Eupen - Genk	3:2
Club Friendly
07.07.21	Genk - Eupen	2:0
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.01.21	Eupen - Genk	1:4

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