Match Info

Date: 9 December 2021, Thursday


	Genk		Rapid Wien

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.5	5
	1.58	4.6	4.8
	1.63	4.4	5
	1.65	4.2	4.4
	1.65	4.47	4.95
	1.65	4.2	4.6
	1.67	4.5	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.7)	4.41 ↑ (3.86)	4.81 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
58.6%

Draw
21.6%

Rapid Wien
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.5%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

15.7%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Rapid Wien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genk than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Genk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapid Wien than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rapid Wien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	7%	7.7%

Genk - Rapid Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: Genk will win (121 of 142 users predict this - 85.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 91.05%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Genk has a small chance of round of 16 (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%), has currently - 5, has not chance of 1st, has a chance of 2nd (30%), has a chance of 3rd (48%).

Rapid has not chance of round of 16, has not chance of qtrs, has not chance of semis, has not chance of final, has not chance of win league, has currently - 3, has not chance of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has a chance of 3rd (21%).

Genk is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rapid is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Genk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Genk is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Genk won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Genk won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
05.12.21	KV Mechelen - Genk	1:1 ✺
Belgian Cup
01.12.21	Genk - Club Brugge	3:4 penalties ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
28.11.21	Genk - Club Brugge	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.11.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.11.21	Beerschot Wilrijk - Genk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLLTL
- Rapid Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
05.12.21	Rapid Wien - Austria Wien	1:1 ✺
28.11.21	Ried - Rapid Wien	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.11.21	Rapid Wien - West Ham United	0:2 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.11.21	Rapid Wien - Rheindorf Altach	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Wolfsberger - Rapid Wien	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
16.09.21	Rapid Wien - Genk	0:1
24.11.16	Genk - Rapid Wien	1:0
15.09.16	Rapid Wien - Genk	3:2
07.11.13	Rapid Wien - Genk	2:2
24.10.13	Genk - Rapid Wien	1:1

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