Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 6
Belgium	18:45	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5, Play Sports Golf, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255
Japan	02:45	Wowow Prime
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mongolia	01:45	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Portugal	17:45	DAZN / App
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	01:45	beIN SPORTS MAX
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Disney+, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab
International	17:45	VIX App


	Dinamo Zagreb		Genk

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4
	2.2	3.4	3.2
	1.98	3.6	4
	1.95	3.65	4.18
	1.92	3.58	4.06
	1.91	3.3	3.8
	1.96	3.6	4.11
	1.96	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.26)	3.52 ↑ (3.38)	3.92 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
48.4%

Draw
27.2%

Genk
24.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

28.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Zagreb's performance.

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Genk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Zagreb that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Dinamo Zagreb - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 35 - 66%). Genk will win (votes: 12 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 53.2% – 78.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.42) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Dinamo Zagreb (1.43) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Dinamo Zagreb (1.25) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dinamo Zagreb will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Genk (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 25. Valincic M. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 7. Stojkovic L. 27. Misic J. (C) 8. Zajc M. 30. Topic F. 9. Beljo D. 11. Hoxha A.	26. Lawal T. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 6. Smets M. 3. Sadick M. 18. Kayembe J. 38. Heymans D. 7. Steuckers J. 8. Heynen B. (C) 10. Ito J. 23. Bibout A. 20. Karetsas K.
Substitutes
71. Bakrar M. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 15. Galesic N. 3. Goda B. 47. Horvat P. 21. Lisica M. 14. Soldo M. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 23. Varela C. 10. Vidovic G.	32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 21. Bangoura I. 97. Doucoure E. (G) 99. Erabi J. 19. Medina Y. 29. Mirisola R. 27. Nkuba K. 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)
Coaches
Kovacevic M.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Heynen B. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
21', 0 - 2, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽,
35', Beljo D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Beljo D. ⚽, Topic F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Zajc M. 🟨,
60', Bibout A. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
70', Steuckers J. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
70', Ito J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
71', Topic F. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
71', Hoxha A. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
71', Zajc M. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
79', Stojkovic L. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
79', Beljo D. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
88', Karetsas K. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),

Preview

First leg.

Dinamo Zagreb is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Genk is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dinamo Zagreb could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I. (Injury) Tabinas P. (Inactive) Torrente R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
14.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Midtjylland - Dinamo Zagreb	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.01.26	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLW
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.02.26	KV Mechelen - Genk	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Genk - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Dender EH - Genk	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Genk - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.26	Genk - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.11.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:1
30.09.21	Genk - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3

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