Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadion Maksimir (Zagreb)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
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World	VIX App


	Dinamo Zagreb		Genk

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.5	4
	2.2	3.4	3.2
	1.98	3.6	4
	1.95	3.65	4.18
	1.92	3.58	4.06
	1.91	3.3	3.8
	1.96	3.6	4.11
	1.96	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.26)	3.52 ↑ (3.38)	3.92 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Zagreb
48.4%

Draw
27.2%

Genk
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

28%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Zagreb's performance.

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Genk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Dinamo Zagreb - Genk Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 35 - 66%). Genk will win (votes: 12 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dinamo Zagreb: 53.2% – 78.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Dinamo Zagreb (1.42) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

DNB - Dinamo Zagreb (1.43) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Dinamo Zagreb (1.25) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dinamo Zagreb will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Genk (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Livakovic D. (G) 25. Valincic M. 36. Dominguez S. 26. McKenna S. 22. Perez Vinlof M. 7. Stojkovic L. 27. Misic J. (C) 8. Zajc M. 30. Topic F. 9. Beljo D. 11. Hoxha A.	26. Lawal T. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 6. Smets M. 3. Sadick M. 18. Kayembe J. 38. Heymans D. 7. Steuckers J. 8. Heynen B. (C) 10. Ito J. 23. Bibout A. 20. Karetsas K.
Substitutes
71. Bakrar M. 44. Filipovic I. (G) 15. Galesic N. 3. Goda B. 47. Horvat P. 21. Lisica M. 14. Soldo M. 28. Theophile-Catherine K. 23. Varela C. 10. Vidovic G.	32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 21. Bangoura I. 97. Doucoure E. (G) 99. Erabi J. 19. Medina Y. 29. Mirisola R. 27. Nkuba K. 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 14. Sor Y. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G)
Coaches
Kovacevic M.	Hayen N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Heynen B. ⚽, Karetsas K. (A),
21', 0 - 2, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽,
35', Beljo D. 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Beljo D. ⚽, Topic F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Zajc M. 🟨,
60', Bibout A. ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
70', Steuckers J. ↓, Bangoura I. ↑,
70', Ito J. ↓, Sor Y. ↑,
71', Topic F. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
71', Hoxha A. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
71', Zajc M. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,
79', Stojkovic L. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
79', Beljo D. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
88', Karetsas K. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, El Ouahdi Z. ⚽, Heymans D. (A),

Preview

First leg.

Dinamo Zagreb is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Genk is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dinamo Zagreb could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Bennacer I. (Injury) Tabinas P. (Inactive) Torrente R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dinamo Zagreb won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Dinamo Zagreb won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
14.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Midtjylland - Dinamo Zagreb	2:0 ✺
Croatian HNL
25.01.26	Osijek - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTWLW
- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.02.26	KV Mechelen - Genk	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Genk - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Dender EH - Genk	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.01.26	Genk - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
25.01.26	Genk - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
25.11.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:1
30.09.21	Genk - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3

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