Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 20

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Genk		Club Brugge

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.6	2.2	Watch
	3	3.65	2.2	Watch
	3.06	3.64	2.21
	3	3.4	2.2
	3.07	3.6	2.25	Watch
	3	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.88)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	2.21 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
31.3%

Draw
26.2%

Club Brugge
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

25.7%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

25.3%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Club Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	8%	80%

Genk - Club Brugge Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Brugge will win (votes: 20 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brugge: 68.4% – 98.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Club Brugge will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 19. Medina Y. 17. Hrosovsky P. 8. Heynen B. (C) 20. Karetsas K. 38. Heymans D. 14. Sor Y. 9. Oh Hyeon-Gyu	16. van den Heuvel D. (G) 64. Sabbe K. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 25. Stankovic A. 9. Forbs C. 10. Vetlesen H. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 8. Tzolis C. 17. Vermant R.
Substitutes
21. Bangoura I. 28. Brughmans L. (G) 99. Erabi J. 10. Ito J. 44. Kongolo J. 26. Lawal T. (G) 29. Mirisola R. 27. Nkuba K. 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 7. Steuckers J.	71. De Corte A. (G) 67. Diakhon M. 87. Furo K. 14. Meijer B. 24. Osuji V. 11. Sandra C. 41. Siquet H. 58. Spileers J. 7. Tresoldi N.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Leko I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Vetlesen H. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),
22', 0 - 2, Vermant R. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Sor Y. ⚽, Oh Hyeon-Gyu (A),
38', Medina Y. 🟨,
43', 1 - 3, Vanaken H. ⚽, Vetlesen H. (A),
45+3', Oh Hyeon-Gyu 🟨,
45+3', Vermant R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Oh Hyeon-Gyu ↓, Mirisola R. ↑,
50', Sabbe K. 🟨,
51', 2 - 3, Heymans D. ⚽, Hrosovsky P. (A),
61', Sadick M. 🟨,
65', Sabbe K. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
72', Medina Y. ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
72', Sor Y. ↓, Ito J. ↑,
74', Vermant R. ↓, Tresoldi N. ↑,
76', 3 - 3, Ito J. ⚽, Palacios A. (A),
80', 3 - 4, Stankovic A. ⚽, Tzolis C. (A),
81', Hrosovsky P. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
81', El Ouahdi Z. ↓, Nkuba K. ↑,
84', Ordonez J. 🟨,
90', Forbs C. ↓, Sandra C. ↑,
90+1', Vetlesen H. ↓, Meijer B. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 5, Sandra C. ⚽, Tresoldi N. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genk won 0.

Genk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Brugge has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brugge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Genk: Adedeji-Sternberg N. (Muscle Injury) Ito J. (Knock) Kayembe J. (International duty) Nkuba K. (Heel Injury)

There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L. (Muscle Injury) Campbell S. (International duty) Jackers N. (Broken rib) Mignolet S. (Abdominal strain) Onyedika R. (International duty) Reis L. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Genk: Oh Hyeon-Gyu (Injury) Palacios A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Brugge: Mechele B. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genk won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 28:43. (average 1.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Genk won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.7:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.12.25	Charleroi - Genk	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Genk - Westerlo	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Midtjylland - Genk	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.12.25	Royal Antwerp - Genk	3:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.25	Genk - Anderlecht	1:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLL
- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.12.25	Club Brugge - Gent	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Dender EH - Club Brugge	1:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Club Brugge - Arsenal	0:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
06.12.25	Sint-Truidense - Club Brugge	3:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
03.12.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Club Brugge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.07.25	Club Brugge - Genk	2:1
11.05.25	Genk - Club Brugge	0:2
13.04.25	Club Brugge - Genk	1:0
Belgian Cup
05.02.25	Genk - Club Brugge	1:1
15.01.25	Club Brugge - Genk	2:1
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
15.12.24	Club Brugge - Genk	2:0
11.08.24	Genk - Club Brugge	3:2

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