Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday

Location: Ghelamco Arena (Gent)

Referee: Kastrati V. (Kos)


	Gent		Žilina

	1	X	2
	1.11	7.5	19	Watch
	1.12	9	14.5
	1.12	8	21
	1.11	8	21
	1.11	8.35	21.35
	1.13	8.4	18.5	Watch
	1.14	9.2	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.35)	8.35 ↑ (4.76)	19.19 ↑ (7.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
83.9%

Draw
11.2%

Žilina
4.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

19.5%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

19.1%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gent's performance.

Žilina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Žilina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gent that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Žilina than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Žilina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	7.7%	0%

Gent - Žilina Predictions

Users Predictions: Gent will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (G) 4. Watanabe T. 23. Torunarigha J. 25. Fortuna N. 18. Samoise M. 24. Kums S. (C) 13. De Sart J. 19. Fofana M. 11. Cuypers H. 20. Orban G. 7. Hong Hyun-Seok	30. Belko L. (G) 23. Minarik J. 18. Stojchevski A. 25. Nemcik T. (C) 66. Rusnak M. 11. Gidi S. 37. Sauer M. 20. Bari K. 14. Bille E. 19. Jambor T. 29. Duris D.
Substitutes
22. Agbor B. 14. Castro-Montes A. 26. Fortin L. (G) 8. Gerkens P. 17. Hjulsager A. 5. Kandouss I. 15. Lagae B. 1. Nardi P. (G) 10. Tissoudali T.	6. Adang X. 13. Addo H. 22. Belanik S. (G) 8. Essomba Bikoula A. L. 16. Ilko P. 27. Javorcek D. 10. Kapralik A. 33. Kopas A. 4. Kopasek S. 3. Leitner P. 7. Myslovic P. 17. Ndjeungoue J. W.
Coaches
Vanhaezebrouck H.	Hynek J.

Preview

1st leg.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Gent could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gent is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Club Friendly
19.07.23	Gent - Zulte Waregem	4:2 ✺
15.07.23	Volendam - Gent	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gent	2:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.06.23	Gent - Standard Liège	3:1 ✺
27.05.23	Westerlo - Gent	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- MSK Žilina
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Levadia Tallinn - Žilina	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Žilina - Baník Ostrava	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Žilina - Levadia Tallinn	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Wolfsberger - Žilina	2:2 ✺
04.07.23	Universitatea Cluj - Žilina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWTT

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