Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 29

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN Pro League 1, Sporza, Sporza
Spain	DAZN Espana


	Gent		Zulte Waregem

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.88
	2.35	3.55	3.06
	2.32	3.53	2.96	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.3	3.71	3.07	Watch
	1.87	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.9)	3.52 ↓ (3.81)	3.01 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
42%

Draw
26.7%

Zulte Waregem
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

22.7%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gent's form might have worsened.

Zulte Waregem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zulte Waregem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zulte Waregem than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	3.4%	13.8%

Gent - Zulte Waregem Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Gent (1.75) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Gent (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Gent (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gent will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gent will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Gent (votes: 13 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 4. Hashioka D. 57. Volckaert M. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 29. Duverne J. 27. De Vlieger T. 22. Lopes L. 8. Skoras M. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 21. Dean M. 7. Kanga W.	13. Gabriel B. (G) 45. De Jaegere B. 5. Kiilerich J. 31. Willen L. 12. Paugain W. 40. Asare D. 8. Claes T. 55. Cappelle Y. 10. Erenbjerg J. (C) 22. Opoku J. 18. Ementa A.
Substitutes
75. Cisse I. 35. De Meyer G. 25. Essaouabi H. 45. Goore H. 15. Ito A. 37. Kadri A. 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G) 11. Sonko M.	39. Ake M. 1. Bostyn L. (G) 11. Gavriel S. 4. Lemoine L. 6. Lofolomo E. 30. Mbaye M. 3. Tanghe A. 36. Ujka S. 9. Vossen J.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Vandenbroeck S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Dean M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Paugain W. ↓, Ake M. ↑,
46', De Jaegere B. ↓, Lemoine L. ↑,
47', De Vlieger T. 🟨,
49', Erenbjerg J. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Asare D. 🟨,
61', Hong Hyun-Seok ↓, Kadri A. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Kanga W. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Claes T. ↓, Vossen J. ↑,
83', Cappelle Y. ↓, Mbaye M. ↑,
83', Duverne J. ↓, De Meyer G. ↑,
83', Dean M. ↓, Goore H. ↑,
83', Kanga W. ↓, Cisse I. ↑,
85', Van Der Heyden S. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gent won 3.

Recent performances by Gent have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Waregem is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gent might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Gent: Araujo T. (Yellow Cards) Delorge-Knieper M. (Ankle Injury) Goore H. (Muscle Injury) Paskotsi M. (Muscle Injury) Samoise M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Waregem: Hedl T. (Inactive) Lemoine L. (Surgery)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gent won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 45:27. (average 2.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gent won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67% Waregem: 1.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
8	Waregem	8	3	2	3	10:9	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.03.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Genk - Gent	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Gent - Cercle Brugge	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Charleroi - Gent	2:3 ✺
07.02.26	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWL
- Zulte Waregem
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
08.03.26	Zulte Waregem - Standard Liège	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	KV Mechelen - Zulte Waregem	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Zulte Waregem - Anderlecht	2:4 ✺
15.02.26	Sint-Truidense - Zulte Waregem	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Zulte Waregem - Dender EH	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.10.25	Zulte Waregem - Gent	4:1
Club Friendly
20.07.24	Gent - Zulte Waregem	0:2
19.07.23	Gent - Zulte Waregem	4:2
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
12.03.23	Zulte Waregem - Gent	2:6
11.09.22	Gent - Zulte Waregem	2:0
06.03.22	Gent - Zulte Waregem	2:1
20.11.21	Zulte Waregem - Gent	1:2

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