Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Gent		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	3.9	4.2	1.8
	4	4.1	1.8
	3.85	4.2	1.82
	3.85	3.95	1.79
	4.06	4.34	1.79
	4	4	1.78
	4.15	4.2	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.97 ↑ (3.44)	4.14 ↑ (3.82)	1.8 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
24%

Draw
23%

Hoffenheim
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

24.8%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

20.2%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gent than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hoffenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	13.2%	80.9%

Gent - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (55 of 68 users predict this - 80.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.53% – 90.23%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Gent has a chance of round of 32 (24%), has a small chance of round of 16 (6%), has a very small chance of qtrs (1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Hoffenheim has a good chance of round of 32 (93%), has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a chance of qtrs (26%), has a small chance of semis (12%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Gent is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gent could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hoffenheim is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.10.20	Gent - Genk	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Slovan Liberec - Gent	1:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.10.20	Cercle Brugge - Gent	5:2 ✺
04.10.20	Gent - Beerschot Wilrijk	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.09.20	Dynamo Kyiv - Gent	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
25.10.20	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Hoffenheim - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
17.10.20	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
03.10.20	Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim	2:1 ✺
27.09.20	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TWLLW

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