Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 25

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade du Pays de Charleroi (Charleroi)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Charleroi		Gent

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5	Watch
	2.08	3.55	3.86
	2.01	3.49	3.72	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.04	3.44	3.77	Watch
	2	3.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)	3.42 ↑ (3.38)	3.67 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charleroi
46.5%

Draw
27.7%

Gent
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

27.2%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Gent aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Charleroi - Gent Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Gent will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charleroi: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Delavallee M. (G) 3. Van Den Kerkhof K. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 24. Nzita M. 22. Titraoui Y. 5. Camara E. 17. Bernier A. 14. Pflucke P. 10. Guiagon P. 21. Scheidler A.	33. Roef D. (C) 4. Hashioka D. 57. Volckaert M. 3. Paskotsi M. 20. Araujo T. 15. Ito A. 22. Lopes L. 8. Skoras M. 37. Kadri A. 11. Sonko M. 21. Dean M.
Substitutes
27. Blum L. 56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 45. Cisse Y. 25. Colassin A. 40. Khalifi Y. 30. Kone M. (G) 8. Romsaas J. 9. Szymczak F.	75. Cisse I. 35. De Meyer G. 27. De Vlieger T. 19. Diop M. 28. El Adfaoui M. 25. Essaouabi H. 24. Hong Hyun-Seok 10. Omgba A. 30. Peersman K. (G)
Coaches
Cornelis H.	De Mil R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ito A. ⚽, Kadri A. (A),
37', Skoras M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Bernier A. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
59', 0 - 2, Dean M. ⚽, Sonko M. (A),
59', Dean M. 🟨,
65', Camara E. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
67', 1 - 2, Keita C. ⚽, Pflucke P. (A),
68', Sonko M. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
71', 1 - 3, Dean M. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Pflucke P. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
78', Keita C. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
80', Skoras M. ↓, Essaouabi H. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Ousou A. ⚽,
89', Kadri A. ↓, Omgba A. ↑,
89', Dean M. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
89', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Cisse Y. ↑,
90+1', Ito A. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gent may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Charleroi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Charleroi: Blum L. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Gent: Delorge-Knieper M. (Ankle Injury) Samoise M. (Knee Injury) Van Der Heyden S. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Gent: Essaouabi H. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Gent: 10.67% Charleroi: 8.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15:4	11	22
4	Charleroi	7	6	0	1	15:7	8	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Charleroi
Belgian Cup
11.02.26	Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi	4:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.26	Charleroi - Cercle Brugge	3:4 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.02.26	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	0:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.01.26	Sint-Truidense - Charleroi	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Royal Antwerp - Charleroi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LLTWW
- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.02.26	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	RAAL La Louvière - Gent	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Standard Liège - Gent	0:4 ✺
18.01.26	Gent - Anderlecht	4:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
15.01.26	Anderlecht - Gent	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.10.25	Gent - Charleroi	2:1
17.01.25	Gent - Charleroi	1:1
11.08.24	Charleroi - Gent	1:0
17.03.24	Gent - Charleroi	5:0
05.11.23	Charleroi - Gent	1:3
19.01.23	Gent - Charleroi	0:0
04.09.22	Charleroi - Gent	2:1

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