Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Sport Bladet Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gent		IFK Göteborg

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.55	4	5
	1.52	4.05	5.4	Watch
	1.55	4.14	5.68
	1.54	4.17	5.68	Watch
	1.49	4.05	5.6
	1.55	4.25	6.16	Watch
	1.54	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.48)	4.12 ↓ (4.22)	5.43 ↓ (5.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
60.4%

Draw
22.5%

IFK Göteborg
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

21.2%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

IFK Göteborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IFK Göteborg than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Gent - IFK Göteborg Predictions

Users Predictions: Gent will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gent will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (C) 5. Ngom M. 16. Burgess C. 44. Van Der Heyden S. 20. Araujo T. 57. Volckaert M. 27. De Vlieger T. 17. Delorge-Knieper M. 8. Benes L. 47. Vergara J. 45. Goore H.	12. Andersson V. (G) 17. Jallow A. 6. Hermannsson H. 3. Erlingmark A. (C) 22. Tolf N. 15. Kruse D. 24. Mansson O. 8. Larsson S. 7. Clemmensen S. 29. Bergmark-Wiberg A. 14. Heintz T.
Substitutes
61. Abdullahi A. 75. Cisse I. 21. Dean M. 56. Diallo M. 28. El Adfaoui M. 37. Kadri A. 22. Lopes L. 10. Omgba A. 3. Paskotsi M. 30. Peersman K. (G) 59. Seck E. H. 11. Sonko M.	11. Alioum S. 5. Bager J. 25. Bishesari E. (G) 30. Coimbra T. 18. Eriksson F. 16. Ottosson F. 1. Rasheed J. (G) 23. Thordarson K.
Coaches
De Mil R.	Edlund M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Volckaert M. ⚽, Araujo T. (A),
35', Jallow A. 🟨,
41', Heintz T. ↓, Coimbra T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Jallow A. ↓, Eriksson F. ↑,
60', Mansson O. ↓, Thordarson K. ↑,
65', Goore H. ↓, Sonko M. ↑,
65', Benes L. ↓, Kadri A. ↑,
76', Delorge-Knieper M. ↓, Lopes L. ↑,
83', Bergmark-Wiberg A. ↓, Alioum S. ↑,
83', Larsson S. ↓, Ottosson F. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Alioum S. ⚽, Ottosson F. (A),
89', De Vlieger T. 🟨,
90+2', Erlingmark A. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

Gent is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Göteborg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Göteborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gent is a strong favorite.

We predict that Gent will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gent won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Gent: 2.24%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
09.08.26	Gent - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	IFK Göteborg - Gent	0:1 ✺
30.07.26	Gent - LNZ Cherkasy	1:0 penalties ✺
23.07.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Gent	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	AZ Alkmaar - Gent	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWTT
- IFK Göteborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
09.08.26	IFK Göteborg - Kalmar	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	IFK Göteborg - Gent	0:1 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.08.26	IFK Göteborg - Degerfors	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Levadia Tallinn - IFK Göteborg	1:3 AET ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
26.07.26	Sirius - IFK Göteborg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
06.08.26	IFK Göteborg - Gent	0:1

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