Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Tynecastle Park (Edinburgh)

Referee: Ocenas M. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 15
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 15, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 16
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 3, TNT Sports Ultimate
Usa	Paramount+
World	Disney+


	Hearts		Omonia

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.63
	2.5	3.2	2.55
	2.6	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.63	3.5	2.71
	2.5	3.47	2.65
	2.56	3.48	2.79
	2.6	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2)	3.39 ↑ (3.25)	2.68 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hearts
36.9%

Draw
27.8%

Omonia
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

28.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hearts's form might have worsened.

Omonia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omonia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hearts, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omonia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36%	28%	36%

Hearts - Omonia Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Hearts will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Omonia will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 16.3% – 56.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gordon C. (G) 35. Forrester A. 2. Kent F. 15. Rowles K. 3. Kingsley S. 17. Forrest A. 18. Boateng M. 14. Devlin C. 16. Spittal B. 9. Shankland L. (C) 77. Vargas K.	40. Fabiano Freitas (C) 2. Dionkou A. 5. Coulibaly S. 4. Helander F. 24. Khammas A. 76. Charalampous C. 20. Maric M. 80. Erakovic N. 21. Simic V. 14. Stepinski M. 7. Semedo W.
Substitutes
27. Boyce L. 28. Clark Z. (G) 20. Dhanda Y. 7. Grant J. 4. Halkett C. 10. McKay B. 5. Oyegoke D. 29. Penrice J. 80. Salazar A. 36. Sandilands C. 25. Tait M. 21. Wilson J.	99. Alioum S. 11. Ewandro 9. Kakoullis A. 3. Kitsos F. 31. Kousoulos I. 98. Kyriakidis C. (G) 22. Lang A. 75. Loizou L. 17. Masouras G. 85. Neophytou A. 30. Panagiotou N. 23. Uzoho F. (G)
Coaches
Fox L.	Dambrauskas V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', Shankland L. 🟨,
6', Maric M. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Forrest A. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Spittal B. ⚽, Vargas K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Forrester A. 🟨,
53', Simic V. ↓, Loizou L. ↑,
57', Gordon C. 🟨,
62', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
63', Forrester A. ↓, Oyegoke D. ↑,
64', Vargas K. ↓, Grant J. ↑,
68', Dionkou A. ↓, Masouras G. ↑,
68', Semedo W. ↓, Alioum S. ↑,
68', Stepinski M. ↓, Kakoullis A. ↑,
73', Spittal B. ↓, Dhanda Y. ↑,
73', Forrest A. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
83', Khammas A. ↓, Kitsos F. ↑,
84', Kingsley S. ↓, McKay B. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Hearts: Nieuwenhof C. (Muscle Injury) Taylor Dosman G. G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Omonia: Bezus R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
19.10.24	Hearts - St. Mirren	4:0 ✺
06.10.24	Aberdeen - Hearts	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Dinamo Minsk - Hearts	1:2 ✺
Scottish Premier League
28.09.24	Hearts - Ross County	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	St. Mirren - Hearts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWTL
- Omonia Nicosia
Cypriot First Division
19.10.24	Omonia - Enosis Neon Paralimni	0:1 ✺
06.10.24	Aris Limassol - Omonia	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Omonia - Vikingur Reykjavik	4:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
27.09.24	Omonia - AEL Limassol	3:1 ✺
21.09.24	Anorthosis - Omonia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWWL

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