Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Planet Group Arena (Gent) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	03:45	Stan Sport
Belgium	18:45	Canvas, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, VRT Canvas
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 11
Iceland	16:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	23:45	beIN Connect
Israel	19:45	Sport 3
Laos	23:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:45	beIN Connect
Myanmar	23:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	18:45	Canal+, Sporza
Norway	18:45	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Philippines	00:45	beIN Connect
Russia	19:45	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 13, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	23:45	beIN Connect
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 13
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
International	16:45	Disney+


	Gent		Molde

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.6
	1.93	3.6	3.3
	1.95	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.99	3.79	3.7
	1.92	3.89	3.48	Watch
	1.99	3.91	3.61
	1.95	3.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.78)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)	3.56 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gent
48.4%

Draw
25.1%

Molde
26.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

25.2%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

24.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Molde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gent than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molde than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	13%	8.7%

Gent - Molde Predictions

Users Predictions: Gent will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Roef D. (G) 12. Gambor H. 4. Watanabe T. 13. Mitrovic S. 20. Araujo T. 6. Gandelman O. 16. Delorge-Knieper M. 24. Kums S. (C) 22. Fadiga N. 9. Gudjohnsen A. 11. Sonko M. L.	22. Posiadala A. (G) 2. Bjornbak M. 3. Oyvann C. 4. Lund V. 18. Stenevik H. 16. Breivik E. 10. Enggaard M. 17. Daehli M. 31. Lovik M. 7. Eikrem M. (C) 27. Brynhildsen O.
Substitutes
3. Brown A. 21. Dean M. 25. Fortuna N. 8. Gerkens P. 15. Ito A. 18. Samoise M. 1. Schmidt D. (G) 19. Surdez F. 23. Torunarigha J. 7. Vancsa Z. 40. Vanden Borre R. (G) 29. Varela H.	26. Amundsen I. 20. Eriksen K. 23. Granaas S. 25. Hagelskjaer A. 19. Haugan E. 28. Haugen K. 9. Ihler F. 32. Lervik P. (G) 34. McDermott S. (G) 29. Nyheim G. 33. Odegard N.
Coaches
Vrancken W.	Moe E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Watanabe T. 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Fadiga N. ⚽, Gandelman O. (A),
39', Lund V. 🟨,
44', Eikrem M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Fadiga N. ↓, Samoise M. ↑,
65', Sonko M. L. ↓, Varela H. ↑,
67', Kums S. 🟨,
68', Enggaard M. ↓, Eriksen K. ↑,
68', Stenevik H. ↓, Haugen K. ↑,
72', Gandelman O. ↓, Dean M. ↑,
72', Araujo T. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Daehli M. ⚽, Breivik E. (A),
82', Kums S. ↓, Ito A. ↑,
84', Bjornbak M. 🟨,
86', Bjornbak M. ↓, Amundsen I. ↑,
87', Breivik E. ↓, Granaas S. ↑,
87', Eikrem M. ↓, Ihler F. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 1, Brown A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Gent is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Molde is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Gent have a series of guest games.

Gent will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gent: Hjulsager A. (Injury) Omgba A. (Injury)

There will not play in Molde: Berisha V. (Injury) Gulbrandsen F. (Injury) Linnes M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Molde: Bakke J. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gent won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 2:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Gent won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Gent
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.10.24	Saint-Gilloise - Gent	0:0 ✺
06.10.24	Sint-Truidense - Gent	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Chelsea - Gent	4:2 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.09.24	Gent - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3:0 ✺
26.09.24	Cercle Brugge - Gent	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLWL
- Molde FK
Norwegian Eliteserien
19.10.24	Molde - Sandefjord	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
06.10.24	Lillestrøm SK - Molde	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Molde - Larne	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
28.09.24	Molde - Tromsø	5:3 ✺
23.09.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Molde	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
03.11.22	Gent - Molde	4:0
08.09.22	Molde - Gent	0:0

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